As of October 24, 2026, 08:17 PM ET, Polymarket traders price JEF United Chiba at 74.0% in Japan J. League: Teams relegated (2026-27) — $12.0K traded so far.
The leading outcome, JEF United Chiba, is priced at 74.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -1.5 pts; past week: +8.0 pts; past month: +8.5 pts.
Since August 24, 2026, JEF United Chiba has traded between 23.5% and 75.5%. It opened at 50.0% and last traded at 75.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 59.0% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 74.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 69.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 60.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 60.0% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 75.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 75.5% |
JEF United Chiba is favored at 74.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JEF United Chiba | 74¢ | 74.0% | -1.5 pts | $2.0K | 16.7% |
| V-Varen Nagasaki | 61¢ | 61.0% | -1.5 pts | $2.5K | 21.2% |
| Tokyo Verdy | 59¢ | 59.0% | -12.5 pts | $790 | 6.6% |
| Avispa Fukuoka | 57¢ | 57.0% | +16.5 pts | $1.7K | 14.3% |
| Gamba Osaka | 55¢ | 54.5% | +1.0 pts | $819 | 6.8% |
| Kashima Antlers | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Kawasaki Frontale | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $80 | 0.7% |
| Yokohama F. Marinos | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $60 | 0.5% |
| Kyoto Sanga | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $141 | 1.2% |
| Cerezo Osaka | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Fagiano Okayama | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $4 | 0.0% |
| Urawa Red Diamonds | 50¢ | 49.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Mito HollyHock | 50¢ | 49.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Nagoya Grampus | 50¢ | 49.5% | — | $80 | 0.7% |
| Shimizu S-Pulse | 41¢ | 41.0% | — | $3.7K | 30.7% |
| Kashiwa Reysol | 24¢ | 23.8% | +20.8 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 23¢ | 23.4% | -26.7 pts | $40 | 0.3% |
| FC Tokyo | 12¢ | 12.0% | -11.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| FC Machida Zelvia | 3¢ | 3.1% | +0.1 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Vissel Kobe | 3¢ | 3.0% | — | $21 | 0.2% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 34¢ (bid 57¢ / ask 91¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$12.0K has been traded on this event in total, $40 of it in the last 24 hours, across 20 markets.
This market is scheduled to end June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is relegated from Japan J. League at the conclusion of the 2026-27 Japan J. League season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Official relegation is defined as a team losing its place in Japan J. League for the following season through their final standing in the 2026-27 Japan J. League, via relegation playoff defeat, or by any other official league decision recognized by Japan J. League. If the 2026-27 Japan J. League season is cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there are no teams confirmed for relegation within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official announcements from Japan J. League. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 60 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Insignificant-Forelimb | Yes | 60 | $44 |
| Negative-Meander | Yes | 50 | $37 |
| Direct-Chainstay | No | 47 | $12 |
| Belated-Glue | No | 47 | $12 |
| Past-Disguise | Yes | 22 | $16 |
| Plump-Implementation | Yes | 20 | $15 |
| Fresh-Dynamics | No | 20 | $5 |
| Adventurous-Democrat-Pickaxe | No | 20 | $5 |
| Snappy-Rooster | No | 18 | $5 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 07:01 PM ET | No | BUY | 34.0% | $2 |
| Oct 20, 02:25 PM ET | No | SELL | 7.0% | $0 |
| Oct 15, 08:05 AM ET | No | BUY | 39.0% | $5 |
| Oct 15, 06:06 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 45.0% | $9 |
| Oct 15, 04:07 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 43.0% | $9 |
| Oct 14, 10:34 PM ET | No | BUY | 38.0% | $8 |
| Oct 14, 06:45 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 38.0% | $8 |
| Oct 14, 12:43 PM ET | No | BUY | 35.0% | $7 |
| Oct 14, 09:43 AM ET | No | BUY | 54.0% | $5 |
| Oct 14, 08:28 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 40.0% | $4 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is JEF United Chiba at 74.0%. Next is V-Varen Nagasaki at 61.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/japan-j-league-teams-relegated-2026-27?via=bro
$12.0K in total volume, with $40 traded in the last 24 hours across 20 markets.
The market is scheduled to end June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
JEF United Chiba, priced at 74.0% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.
Prices move fast. Check the live book, read the resolution rules, and size small while you learn.
Sign Up on PolymarketNew here? Start with the complete beginner guide, then run any stake through the payout calculator before you trade.