As of October 24, 2026, 08:50 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 96.7% in Japanese parliament dissolved in 2026? — $5.0K traded so far.
The leading outcome, No, is priced at 96.7%.
Price changes for the leading market — past week: +0.1 pts; past month: -0.1 pts.
Since April 23, 2026, No has traded between 10.5% and 96.8%. It opened at 68.0% and last traded at 96.7%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 96.7% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 96.8% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 96.7% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 96.7% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 96.7% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 96.7% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 96.7% |
No is favored at 96.7%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | 97¢ | 96.7% | — | $5.0K | 100.0% |
| Yes | 3¢ | 3.3% | — | $5.0K | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 0¢ (bid 3¢ / ask 4¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$5.0K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting House of Representatives of Japan is dissolved by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Japan, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 549 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Far-Flung-Transom | No | 549 | $531 |
| Milky-Codepage | Yes | 300 | $10 |
| Grim-Garage | Yes | 139 | $5 |
| Milky-Gallon-Prow | No | 109 | $105 |
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 95 | $3 |
| Normal-Mariachi | Yes | 72 | $2 |
| Poor-Tavern | No | 50 | $48 |
| Violet-Raisin | Yes | 40 | $1 |
| 0x6b0ebbef… | Yes | 19 | $1 |
| 0x3abe5c24… | Yes | 14 | $0 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 03, 06:43 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 3.7% | $2 |
| Sep 26, 10:21 AM ET | No | SELL | 96.3% | $37 |
| Sep 26, 10:07 AM ET | No | BUY | 96.9% | $38 |
| Sep 18, 04:59 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 3.4% | $0 |
| Sep 10, 11:20 PM ET | No | SELL | 96.4% | $48 |
| Sep 10, 11:20 PM ET | No | SELL | 96.4% | $116 |
| Sep 09, 08:40 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 3.0% | $2 |
| Sep 08, 10:19 PM ET | No | SELL | 95.0% | $1 |
| Sep 08, 12:37 AM ET | No | SELL | 95.0% | $1 |
| Sep 07, 11:25 PM ET | No | SELL | 95.0% | $1 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 96.7%. Next is Yes at 3.3%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/japanese-parliament-dissolved-in-2026?via=bro
$5.0K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
No, priced at 96.7% as of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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