As of October 24, 2026, 07:43 PM ET, Polymarket traders price December 31, 2026 at 2.2% in Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by...? — $3.14M traded so far.
The leading outcome, December 31, 2026, is priced at 2.2%.
Price changes for the leading market — past week: -0.4 pts; past month: -0.1 pts.
Since December 29, 2025, December 31, 2026 has traded between 2.2% and 54.5%. It opened at 54.5% and last traded at 2.2%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 2.6% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 2.6% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 2.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 2.5% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 2.2% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 2.2% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 2.2% |
December 31, 2026 is favored at 2.2%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31, 2026 | 2¢ | 2.2% | — | $2.79M | 88.7% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 1¢ (bid 2¢ / ask 3¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$3.14M has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if definitive evidence confirming the the incident on August 10, 2019, involving Jeffrey Epstein involved foul play is released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Statements from the U.S. government indicating that there was foul play will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from any US government agency, law enforcement agencies, and courts, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 2,000 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Peppery-Capital | No | 2,000 | $2.0K |
| 0x8931aa50… | No | 1,905 | $1.9K |
| Ancient-Excursion | No | 1,123 | $1.1K |
| Young-Viscose | Yes | 944 | $21 |
| Straight-Hunting | Yes | 936 | $21 |
| Blaring-Backdrop | Yes | 576 | $13 |
| Unequaled-Charset | No | 556 | $544 |
| Intelligent-Ereader | Yes | 513 | $11 |
| Stark-Cob | Yes | 440 | $10 |
| Abandoned-Frenzy | Yes | 404 | $9 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 10:15 AM ET | No | SELL | 97.3% | $6 |
| Oct 22, 06:36 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 2.1% | $15 |
| Oct 20, 08:36 AM ET | No | SELL | 97.3% | $8 |
| Oct 20, 03:05 AM ET | No | SELL | 97.3% | $2 |
| Oct 19, 10:57 PM ET | No | SELL | 97.3% | $6 |
| Oct 19, 02:59 PM ET | No | BUY | 97.8% | $8 |
| Oct 19, 02:13 PM ET | No | SELL | 97.3% | $5 |
| Oct 19, 02:11 PM ET | No | BUY | 97.4% | $6 |
| Oct 16, 03:33 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 2.7% | $0 |
| Oct 15, 06:30 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 2.8% | $0 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is December 31, 2026 at 2.2%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/jeffrey-epstein-foul-play-confirmed-in-2025?via=bro
$3.14M in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
December 31, 2026, priced at 2.2% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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