As of October 24, 2026, 08:22 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 98.5% in Jerome Powell in jail before 2027? — $6.1K traded so far.
The leading outcome, No, is priced at 98.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — past week: -0.8 pts; past month: -1.5 pts.
Since January 12, 2026, No has traded between 92.7% and 98.8%. It opened at 94.0% and last traded at 98.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 98.2% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 97.8% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 98.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 98.5% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 98.6% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 98.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 98.5% |
No is favored at 98.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | 98¢ | 98.5% | — | $6.1K | 100.0% |
| Yes | 2¢ | 1.5% | — | $6.1K | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 1¢ (bid 1¢ / ask 2¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$6.1K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jerome Powell serves any time in a federal, state, or local U.S. jail or prison between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 500 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Straight-Hunting | Yes | 500 | $7 |
| Sleepy-Council | No | 385 | $380 |
| Gigantic-Graduation | No | 381 | $376 |
| 0x8931aa50… | No | 365 | $360 |
| FrankyFourFingers | Yes | 201 | $3 |
| Bouncy-Saving | Yes | 125 | $2 |
| Frugal-Analogy | Yes | 114 | $2 |
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 110 | $2 |
| Pointless-Exasperation | No | 106 | $105 |
| Feminine-Goat | Yes | 100 | $2 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 05:34 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 1.8% | $1 |
| Oct 16, 04:32 PM ET | No | BUY | 98.3% | $98 |
| Oct 16, 04:27 PM ET | No | BUY | 98.0% | $6 |
| Oct 16, 12:51 PM ET | No | BUY | 97.8% | $98 |
| Oct 16, 11:16 AM ET | No | BUY | 97.7% | $127 |
| Oct 07, 07:30 AM ET | No | SELL | 96.8% | $12 |
| Sep 22, 06:42 PM ET | No | BUY | 97.5% | $1 |
| Sep 13, 12:25 PM ET | No | BUY | 97.5% | $39 |
| Sep 13, 12:24 PM ET | No | BUY | 97.4% | $6 |
| Sep 08, 05:34 PM ET | No | BUY | 97.0% | $6 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 98.5%. Next is Yes at 1.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/jerome-powell-in-jail-before-2027?via=bro
$6.1K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
No, priced at 98.5% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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