As of October 24, 2026, 07:45 PM ET, Polymarket traders price December 31 at 9.5% in Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…? — $469.9K traded so far.
The leading outcome, December 31, is priced at 9.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — past month: -1.0 pts.
Since January 05, 2026, December 31 has traded between 9.5% and 86.0%. It opened at 65.0% and last traded at 9.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 9.5% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 9.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 9.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 9.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 9.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 9.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 9.5% |
December 31 is favored at 9.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31 | 10¢ | 9.5% | — | $183.3K | 39.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 1¢ (bid 9¢ / ask 10¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$469.9K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 11,600 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Recent-Icebreaker | Yes | 11,600 | $1.1K |
| Whimsical-Terminal | No | 7,405 | $6.7K |
| Belated-Clothes | No | 3,000 | $2.7K |
| Chief-Plot | Yes | 2,606 | $248 |
| Worrisome-Repository | No | 2,436 | $2.2K |
| Vengeful-Netsuke | No | 2,149 | $1.9K |
| Violet-Handball | Yes | 1,926 | $183 |
| Scratchy-Loading | No | 1,750 | $1.6K |
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 1,514 | $144 |
| Crisp-Scarf | No | 1,146 | $1.0K |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 10:49 AM ET | No | SELL | 90.0% | $85 |
| Oct 21, 09:18 PM ET | No | SELL | 89.0% | $76 |
| Oct 21, 07:44 PM ET | No | SELL | 89.0% | $1 |
| Oct 21, 07:44 PM ET | No | SELL | 89.0% | $29 |
| Oct 21, 07:44 PM ET | No | SELL | 89.0% | $2 |
| Oct 21, 07:44 PM ET | No | SELL | 90.0% | $24 |
| Oct 21, 07:44 PM ET | No | SELL | 90.0% | $119 |
| Oct 21, 12:21 PM ET | No | SELL | 90.0% | $13 |
| Oct 18, 10:55 AM ET | No | SELL | 90.0% | $31 |
| Oct 18, 07:44 AM ET | No | SELL | 90.0% | $121 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is December 31 at 9.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/jerome-powell-out-from-fed-board-by?via=bro
$469.9K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
December 31, priced at 9.5% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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