Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

Jessica Tisch out as New York City Police Commissioner by...?

As of October 24, 2026, 08:52 PM ET, Polymarket traders price December 31 at 25.5% in Jessica Tisch out as New York City Police Commissioner by...? — $4.4K traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $0.
Leading outcome
December 31
26%
A 25.5% price implies roughly a 26-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
7D −17.0 pts30D −7.0 pts
Bid
25¢
Ask
26¢
Spread
1¢
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Range since July 30, 2026: 15.5% – 52.0% · Opened at 21.0%

Market facts

Event data
Event
Jessica Tisch out as New York City Police Commissioner by...?
Category
Politics, New York City, Zohran Mamdani
Scheduled end
December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET
Total volume
$4.4K
Volume (24h)
$0
Liquidity
$10.9K
Markets
1
Leading outcome
December 31 — 25.5%

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, December 31, is priced at 25.5%.

Price changes for the leading market — past week: -17.0 pts; past month: -7.0 pts.

Since July 30, 2026, December 31 has traded between 15.5% and 52.0%. It opened at 21.0% and last traded at 25.5%.

DayClose
Oct 15, 202634.0%
Oct 16, 202642.5%
Oct 18, 202629.0%
Oct 19, 202629.0%
Oct 20, 202626.5%
Oct 24, 202625.5%
Oct 24, 202625.5%

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

December 31 is favored at 25.5%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
December 3126¢25.5%—$2.9K66.2%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 1¢ (bid 25¢ / ask 26¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$4.4K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jessica Tisch’s departure as New York City Police Commissioner is officially announced by the specified date at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise it will resolve to "No". The departure will be considered to be announced when Jessica Tisch, the New York City Police Department, or their authorized representatives publicly and definitively announce that Jessica Tisch has ceased or will cease to hold the position of New York City Police Commissioner. Such an announcement will qualify regardless of when the specified person formally leaves the position. Announcements of the specified person’s resignation, removal, or departure through other means all qualify. The following do not qualify as public and definitive announcements: statements that the specified person is considering or open to departing; conditional statements that the specified person will depart only if specified conditions are met; the announcement of an offer of resignation that requires acceptance and remains pending or has been refused; media reports that the specified person plans to depart; statements made in sarcasm or jest; and statements by persons other than the specified person, the relevant authority governing the specified position, or their respective authorized representatives. … (condensed)

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 425 shares of Yes.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
Belated-GlueYes425$108
Joyous-CatalystNo286$213
Measly-GelatinNo227$169
Evil-RowYes93$24
Poor-TavernNo80$60
Direct-ChainstayYes53$13
Bouncy-SavingYes40$10
Low-DeodorantYes36$9
Stupendous-DonutNo30$22
Unnatural-InsulationNo20$15

What are the latest trades?

Tape
BUY No — $58 at 72.0%BUY Yes — $23 at 28.0%BUY No — $14 at 72.0%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 23, 09:35 AM ETNoSELL74.0%$4
Oct 20, 12:38 PM ETYesSELL25.0%$5
Oct 20, 12:49 AM ETNoBUY72.0%$9
Oct 20, 12:49 AM ETNoBUY72.0%$9
Oct 20, 12:49 AM ETNoBUY72.0%$14
Oct 20, 12:49 AM ETNoBUY72.0%$58
Oct 18, 03:54 AM ETYesSELL27.0%$0
Oct 18, 03:12 AM ETNoBUY74.0%$9
Oct 18, 03:12 AM ETYesSELL27.0%$5
Oct 18, 02:13 AM ETNoBUY62.0%$12

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Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of Jessica Tisch out as New York City Police Commissioner by...??

As of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET, the leading outcome is December 31 at 25.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/jessica-tisch-out-as-new-york-city-police-commissioner-byptptpt-20260729145659933?via=bro

How much money has been traded on Jessica Tisch out as New York City Police Commissioner by...??

$4.4K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.

When does Jessica Tisch out as New York City Police Commissioner by...? end?

The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

What is the most likely outcome of Jessica Tisch out as New York City Police Commissioner by...?, according to Polymarket traders?

December 31, priced at 25.5% as of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

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