Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

JOLTS Job Openings: September 2026

As of October 24, 2026, 08:14 PM ET, Polymarket traders price 7.4M+ at 20.5% in JOLTS Job Openings: September 2026 — $17.4K traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $40.
Leading outcome
7.4M+
20%
A 20.5% price implies roughly a 20-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
7.4M+20.5%
7.3M to 7.4M15.5%
Bid
20¢
Ask
21¢
Spread
1¢
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Range since September 29, 2026: 9.0% – 34.0% · Opened at 12.5%

Market facts

Event data
Event
JOLTS Job Openings: September 2026
Category
jobs, JOLTS, Labor, Economy, Recurring, Job Openings, Macro Indicators
Scheduled end
November 03, 2026, 10:00 AM ET
Total volume
$17.4K
Volume (24h)
$40
Liquidity
$7.4K
Markets
8
Leading outcome
7.4M+ — 20.5%

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, 7.4M+, is priced at 20.5%.

Since September 29, 2026, 7.4M+ has traded between 9.0% and 34.0%. It opened at 12.5% and last traded at 20.5%.

DayClose
Oct 16, 202623.0%
Oct 18, 202620.5%
Oct 19, 202620.5%
Oct 20, 202620.5%
Oct 22, 202620.5%
Oct 23, 202620.5%
Oct 24, 202620.5%

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

7.4M+ is favored at 20.5%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
7.4M+20¢20.5%—$3.5K19.9%
7.3M to 7.4M16¢15.5%-1.0 pts$3712.1%
7.1M to 7.2M12¢11.8%+2.0 pts$2571.5%
7.2M to 7.3M12¢11.5%-2.5 pts$5.3K30.7%
<6.8M10¢9.5%—$4.4K25.3%
7.0M to 7.1M9¢9.0%+0.5 pts$2.9K16.6%
6.9M to 7.0M4¢4.4%+0.1 pts$2021.2%
6.8M to 6.9M4¢4.3%+0.1 pts$4692.7%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 1¢ (bid 20¢ / ask 21¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$17.4K has been traded on this event in total, $40 of it in the last 24 hours, across 8 markets.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end November 03, 2026, 10:00 AM ET.

This is a market about the seasonally adjusted total number of job openings in the United States in September 2026, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS). This market will resolve to the bracket containing the seasonally adjusted total number of job openings for the total nonfarm sector in September 2026, as reported in the monthly JOLTS report published by the BLS. The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/jlt/), currently scheduled to be released on November 3, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly JOLTS report, which reports job openings in thousands of openings. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Rounding employed in the headline figure will not impact settlement, where a more precise figure is reported. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next JOLTS report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule/2026/home.htm). … (condensed)

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 581 shares of Yes.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
Defensive-PlungerYes581$119
Unselfish-Mineral-SundayNo501$398
0xa5ef39c3…No497$395
Unique-PrimaryYes228$47
Belated-GlueYes100$20
Awesome-Checkbook-HoseYes79$16
Few-PreventionNo49$39
Gleaming-HandlebarYes37$8
Hideous-RacerNo33$26
Plastic-DuckYes30$6

What are the latest trades?

Tape
BUY No — $381 at 76.2%BUY No — $148 at 78.7%SELL No — $96 at 90.9%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 23, 10:56 AM ETNoBUY75.0%$15
Oct 23, 09:42 AM ETYesBUY9.0%$2
Oct 23, 06:53 AM ETYesSELL11.0%$2
Oct 22, 01:29 PM ETYesSELL15.0%$3
Oct 22, 05:18 AM ETYesBUY9.0%$3
Oct 22, 02:18 AM ETYesSELL11.0%$2
Oct 21, 07:00 PM ETNoBUY90.0%$9
Oct 20, 09:59 PM ETYesBUY10.0%$1
Oct 20, 07:16 PM ETYesBUY9.0%$1
Oct 20, 05:13 PM ETNoSELL90.0%$9

Related markets

More jobs

October Unemployment Rate

4.2% 35.5% · 24H VOL $358

Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of JOLTS Job Openings: September 2026?

As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is 7.4M+ at 20.5%. Next is 7.3M to 7.4M at 15.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/jolts-job-openings-september-2026?via=bro

How much money has been traded on JOLTS Job Openings: September 2026?

$17.4K in total volume, with $40 traded in the last 24 hours across 8 markets.

When does JOLTS Job Openings: September 2026 end?

The market is scheduled to end November 03, 2026, 10:00 AM ET.

What is the most likely outcome of JOLTS Job Openings: September 2026, according to Polymarket traders?

7.4M+, priced at 20.5% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

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