As of October 24, 2026, 09:07 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 94.5% in Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock out from the Senate in 2026? — $1.4K traded so far.
The leading outcome, No, is priced at 94.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +2.2 pts; past week: +2.4 pts; past month: +0.9 pts.
Since July 14, 2026, No has traded between 54.5% and 97.0%. It opened at 54.5% and last traded at 94.7%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | 97.0% |
| Oct 15, 2026 | 96.7% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 96.7% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 96.6% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 96.8% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 96.7% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 94.7% |
No is favored at 94.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | 94¢ | 94.5% | -2.2 pts | $1.4K | 100.0% |
| Yes | 6¢ | 5.5% | +2.2 pts | $1.4K | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 4¢ (bid 4¢ / ask 7¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$1.4K has been traded on this event in total, $47 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve as Yes if either Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock formally ceases to hold the position of United States Senator by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve as "No." Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, expulsion, or other means all qualify. Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be statements from Jon Ossoff, Raphael Warnock, the offices of Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock, and the United States Senate.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 647 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Solid-Porcelain | No | 647 | $612 |
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 253 | $14 |
| Bouncy-Saving | Yes | 160 | $9 |
| Essential-Diarist | Yes | 87 | $5 |
| Snappy-Rooster | Yes | 60 | $3 |
| Spicy-Acrylic | Yes | 50 | $3 |
| Trusty-Guidance | No | 41 | $39 |
| Evil-Row | Yes | 38 | $2 |
| Reasonable-Stable | Yes | 31 | $2 |
| Mortified-Wetland | Yes | 10 | $1 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 07:52 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 4.4% | $2 |
| Oct 22, 06:46 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 4.4% | $3 |
| Oct 21, 11:57 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 3.9% | $4 |
| Oct 13, 09:27 AM ET | No | BUY | 97.8% | $40 |
| Sep 02, 02:27 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 2.1% | $1 |
| Sep 02, 02:27 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 2.1% | $1 |
| Aug 31, 10:24 PM ET | No | BUY | 97.0% | $10 |
| Aug 06, 08:27 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 3.8% | $2 |
| Aug 04, 04:38 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 4.0% | $2 |
| Aug 03, 03:47 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 5.0% | $2 |
As of October 24, 2026, 09:03 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 94.5%. Next is Yes at 5.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/jon-ossoff-or-raphael-warnock-out-from-the-senate-in-2026-20260714143604317?via=bro
$1.4K in total volume, with $47 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
No, priced at 94.5% as of October 24, 2026, 09:03 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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