Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

Jones Act domestic shipping requirements removed by December 31?

As of October 24, 2026, 08:59 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 91.5% in Jones Act domestic shipping requirements removed by December 31? — $2.3K traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $0.
Leading outcome
No
92%
A 91.5% price implies roughly a 92-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
24H +0.5 pts7D −3.5 pts30D +2.5 pts
No91.5%
Yes8.5%
Bid
6¢
Ask
11¢
Spread
5¢
Trade on Polymarket →
Range since June 29, 2026: 51.5% – 95.5% · Opened at 51.5%

Market facts

Event data
Event
Jones Act domestic shipping requirements removed by December 31?
Category
Trump, Vessel, Economy, Politics, shipping, Recurring
Scheduled end
December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET
Total volume
$2.3K
Volume (24h)
$0
Liquidity
$409
Markets
1
Leading outcome
No — 91.5%

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, No, is priced at 91.5%.

Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +0.5 pts; past week: -3.5 pts; past month: +2.5 pts.

Since June 29, 2026, No has traded between 51.5% and 95.5%. It opened at 51.5% and last traded at 91.5%.

DayClose
Oct 15, 202691.5%
Oct 16, 202690.5%
Oct 18, 202692.5%
Oct 19, 202689.5%
Oct 20, 202691.0%
Oct 22, 202691.0%
Oct 23, 202691.5%

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

No is favored at 91.5%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
No92¢91.5%-0.5 pts$2.3K100.0%
Yes8¢8.5%+0.5 pts$2.3K100.0%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 5¢ (bid 6¢ / ask 11¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$2.3K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

The Jones Act of 1920 requires that all goods transported by water between U.S. ports be carried by vessels which are built in the U.S., owned by U.S. citizens, flagged to the U.S., and manned by U.S. crews. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Jones Act is repealed, altered, or invalidated, or new legislation becomes law, such that any of the Jones Act domestic shipping restrictions to vessels which are built in the U.S., owned by U.S. citizens, flagged to the U.S., and manned by U.S. crews are fully removed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A removal of any of the listed domestic shipping requirements will count. For example, the removal of the domestic shipping requirements for ships to be built in and flagged to the U.S., without the removal of the requirements for those ships to be owned by U.S. citizens to be manned by U.S. crews, would count. New legislation includes any congressional legislation or any executive order, proclamation, memorandum, or other legally-binding executive action which effectively removes one of the listed Jones Act requirements. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the U.S. government. If official information is unavailable or unclear, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 1,240 shares of No.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
Single-ChallengeNo1,240$1.1K
Golden-UnemploymentYes583$50
Grim-GarageYes315$27
Evil-RowYes300$26
Happy-DinosaurNo235$215
Belated-GlueYes172$15
Snappy-RoosterYes101$9
Known-UseNo60$55
Scented-OreganoYes22$2
Decisive-FocusYes20$2

What are the latest trades?

Tape
BUY No — $217 at 87.0%BUY No — $169 at 91.5%BUY No — $90 at 90.0%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 20, 11:12 AM ETNoBUY92.0%$5
Oct 13, 03:18 PM ETYesBUY8.0%$2
Oct 13, 11:50 AM ETYesBUY8.0%$2
Oct 05, 06:06 AM ETYesBUY6.0%$1
Oct 04, 03:24 PM ETYesBUY6.0%$1
Oct 03, 11:02 PM ETYesSELL6.0%$1
Oct 01, 08:19 AM ETYesSELL9.0%$4
Oct 01, 08:19 AM ETYesSELL10.0%$1
Oct 01, 08:18 AM ETNoBUY90.0%$90
Sep 29, 05:24 PM ETYesSELL10.0%$1

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Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of Jones Act domestic shipping requirements removed by December 31??

As of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 91.5%. Next is Yes at 8.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/jones-act-domestic-shipping-requirements-removed-by-december-31-20260629145453301?via=bro

How much money has been traded on Jones Act domestic shipping requirements removed by December 31??

$2.3K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.

When does Jones Act domestic shipping requirements removed by December 31? end?

The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

What is the most likely outcome of Jones Act domestic shipping requirements removed by December 31?, according to Polymarket traders?

No, priced at 91.5% as of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

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