As of October 24, 2026, 08:59 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 91.5% in Jones Act domestic shipping requirements removed by December 31? — $2.3K traded so far.
The leading outcome, No, is priced at 91.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +0.5 pts; past week: -3.5 pts; past month: +2.5 pts.
Since June 29, 2026, No has traded between 51.5% and 95.5%. It opened at 51.5% and last traded at 91.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 91.5% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 90.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 92.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 89.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 91.0% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 91.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 91.5% |
No is favored at 91.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | 92¢ | 91.5% | -0.5 pts | $2.3K | 100.0% |
| Yes | 8¢ | 8.5% | +0.5 pts | $2.3K | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 5¢ (bid 6¢ / ask 11¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$2.3K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The Jones Act of 1920 requires that all goods transported by water between U.S. ports be carried by vessels which are built in the U.S., owned by U.S. citizens, flagged to the U.S., and manned by U.S. crews. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Jones Act is repealed, altered, or invalidated, or new legislation becomes law, such that any of the Jones Act domestic shipping restrictions to vessels which are built in the U.S., owned by U.S. citizens, flagged to the U.S., and manned by U.S. crews are fully removed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A removal of any of the listed domestic shipping requirements will count. For example, the removal of the domestic shipping requirements for ships to be built in and flagged to the U.S., without the removal of the requirements for those ships to be owned by U.S. citizens to be manned by U.S. crews, would count. New legislation includes any congressional legislation or any executive order, proclamation, memorandum, or other legally-binding executive action which effectively removes one of the listed Jones Act requirements. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the U.S. government. If official information is unavailable or unclear, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 1,240 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Single-Challenge | No | 1,240 | $1.1K |
| Golden-Unemployment | Yes | 583 | $50 |
| Grim-Garage | Yes | 315 | $27 |
| Evil-Row | Yes | 300 | $26 |
| Happy-Dinosaur | No | 235 | $215 |
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 172 | $15 |
| Snappy-Rooster | Yes | 101 | $9 |
| Known-Use | No | 60 | $55 |
| Scented-Oregano | Yes | 22 | $2 |
| Decisive-Focus | Yes | 20 | $2 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 11:12 AM ET | No | BUY | 92.0% | $5 |
| Oct 13, 03:18 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 8.0% | $2 |
| Oct 13, 11:50 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 8.0% | $2 |
| Oct 05, 06:06 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 6.0% | $1 |
| Oct 04, 03:24 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 6.0% | $1 |
| Oct 03, 11:02 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 6.0% | $1 |
| Oct 01, 08:19 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 9.0% | $4 |
| Oct 01, 08:19 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 10.0% | $1 |
| Oct 01, 08:18 AM ET | No | BUY | 90.0% | $90 |
| Sep 29, 05:24 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 10.0% | $1 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 91.5%. Next is Yes at 8.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/jones-act-domestic-shipping-requirements-removed-by-december-31-20260629145453301?via=bro
$2.3K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
No, priced at 91.5% as of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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