As of October 24, 2026, 08:16 PM ET, Polymarket traders price December 31 at 14.0% in JPMorgan (JPM) closes at $1T+ market cap by…? — $15.3K traded so far.
The leading outcome, December 31, is priced at 14.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -0.5 pts; past week: -0.5 pts; past month: -9.5 pts.
Since July 17, 2026, December 31 has traded between 13.0% and 56.0%. It opened at 54.0% and last traded at 14.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | 14.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 14.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 13.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 14.0% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 14.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 14.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 14.0% |
December 31 is favored at 14.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31 | 14¢ | 14.0% | -0.5 pts | $6.0K | 39.6% |
| October 31 | 9¢ | 9.0% | — | $3.2K | 21.1% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 10¢ (bid 9¢ / ask 19¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$15.3K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 2 markets.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the closing market capitalization of JPMorgan Chase & Co (JPM) is equal to or greater than USD 1 trillion for any day between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on any day within the specified timeframe. This market may remain open for three days after the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, to confirm the closing share price of a date within the specified timeframe. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 222 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jumbo-Cupcake | No | 222 | $191 |
| Academic-Drop | Yes | 182 | $25 |
| Evil-Row | No | 100 | $86 |
| Belated-Glue | No | 95 | $82 |
| Hideous-Racer | Yes | 75 | $10 |
| Remote-Demur | No | 68 | $58 |
| Bouncy-Saving | Yes | 60 | $8 |
| Pointed-Rooster | Yes | 45 | $6 |
| Multicolored-Casserole | Yes | 30 | $4 |
| Weepy-Bidet | Yes | 20 | $3 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 05:30 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 15.0% | $0 |
| Oct 14, 02:27 PM ET | No | BUY | 85.0% | $12 |
| Oct 14, 07:05 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 15.0% | $3 |
| Oct 07, 09:07 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 16.0% | $1 |
| Oct 07, 11:04 AM ET | No | SELL | 80.0% | $1 |
| Oct 07, 05:08 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 22.0% | $0 |
| Oct 07, 05:08 AM ET | No | BUY | 77.0% | $15 |
| Oct 07, 05:08 AM ET | No | BUY | 77.0% | $30 |
| Oct 07, 05:08 AM ET | No | BUY | 77.0% | $16 |
| Oct 06, 09:06 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 23.0% | $2 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is December 31 at 14.0%. Next is October 31 at 9.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/jpmorgan-jpm-closes-at-1t-market-cap-by-20260715163827893?via=bro
$15.3K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 2 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
December 31, priced at 14.0% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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