As of October 24, 2026, 06:54 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Armenia at 76.0% in Junior Eurovision Winner 2026 — $152.2K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Armenia, is priced at 76.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +31.0 pts; past week: +57.5 pts; past month: +58.0 pts.
Since June 09, 2026, Armenia has traded between 10.5% and 76.0%. It opened at 40.5% and last traded at 76.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 17.5% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 17.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 18.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 28.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 32.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 43.0% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 76.0% |
Armenia is favored at 76.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Armenia | 76¢ | 76.0% | +31.0 pts | $3.5K | 2.3% |
| Country A | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Country B | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Country C | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Country D | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Country E | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Country F | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Country G | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Country H | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Country I | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Country J | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Country K | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Country L | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Country M | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Country N | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Country O | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Other | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Spain | 25¢ | 25.4% | +0.7 pts | $11.8K | 7.7% |
| Ukraine | 4¢ | 4.5% | -10.5 pts | $2.7K | 1.8% |
| Georgia | 4¢ | 3.5% | -3.5 pts | $733 | 0.5% |
| Poland | 3¢ | 3.0% | -4.0 pts | $1.0K | 0.7% |
| Italy | 2¢ | 2.5% | +1.4 pts | $11.6K | 7.6% |
| Montenegro | 2¢ | 1.7% | -0.2 pts | $11.6K | 7.6% |
| France | 0¢ | 0.4% | -12.2 pts | $11.7K | 7.7% |
| North Macedonia | 0¢ | 0.4% | -8.3 pts | $11.6K | 7.6% |
| Azerbaijan | 0¢ | 0.4% | -0.7 pts | $12.5K | 8.2% |
| Cyprus | 0¢ | 0.4% | -3.6 pts | $11.5K | 7.6% |
| Netherlands | 0¢ | 0.4% | -1.3 pts | $1.1K | 0.7% |
| Portugal | 0¢ | 0.4% | -1.1 pts | $11.9K | 7.8% |
| San Marino | 0¢ | 0.4% | -3.1 pts | $12.3K | 8.0% |
| Ireland | 0¢ | 0.3% | -14.1 pts | $11.4K | 7.5% |
| Croatia | 0¢ | 0.2% | -1.9 pts | $12.0K | 7.9% |
| Malta | 0¢ | 0.2% | -25.6 pts | $11.5K | 7.5% |
| Albania | 0¢ | 0.1% | -0.3 pts | $1.7K | 1.1% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 48¢ (bid 52¢ / ask 100¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$152.2K has been traded on this event in total, $138.8K of it in the last 24 hours, across 34 markets.
This market is scheduled to end July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Junior Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Junior Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Junior Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Junior Eurovision (https://junioreurovision.tv/), including live footage of Junior Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Resolution source: https://junioreurovision.tv/
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 1,876 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 1,876 | $450 |
| Every-Alligator | Yes | 982 | $746 |
| Sparse-Cookie | No | 430 | $103 |
| Upbeat-Advance | Yes | 418 | $318 |
| Necessary-Chowder | Yes | 405 | $308 |
| Pure-Disappointment | Yes | 243 | $185 |
| Kooky-Form | Yes | 236 | $179 |
| Belated-Glue | No | 157 | $38 |
| Sentimental-Clavier | Yes | 155 | $118 |
| Muted-Primary | No | 155 | $37 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 06:08 PM ET | No | BUY | 99.9% | $6 |
| Oct 24, 06:06 PM ET | No | BUY | 99.9% | $150 |
| Oct 24, 05:44 PM ET | No | BUY | 99.9% | $214 |
| Oct 24, 05:44 PM ET | No | BUY | 99.9% | $5.0K |
| Oct 24, 05:44 PM ET | No | BUY | 99.9% | $4.7K |
| Oct 24, 05:44 PM ET | No | BUY | 99.9% | $3.4K |
| Oct 24, 05:44 PM ET | No | BUY | 99.9% | $5.0K |
| Oct 24, 05:44 PM ET | No | BUY | 99.9% | $5.0K |
| Oct 24, 05:44 PM ET | No | BUY | 99.9% | $5.0K |
| Oct 24, 05:44 PM ET | No | BUY | 99.9% | $450 |
As of October 24, 2026, 06:53 PM ET, the leading outcome is Armenia at 76.0%. Next is Country A at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/junior-eurovision-winner-2026-20260608142820871?via=bro
$152.2K in total volume, with $138.8K traded in the last 24 hours across 34 markets.
The market is scheduled to end July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://junioreurovision.tv/.
Armenia, priced at 76.0% as of October 24, 2026, 06:53 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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