As of October 24, 2026, 07:47 PM ET, Polymarket traders price December 31 at 6.0% in Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by...? — $299.7K traded so far.
The leading outcome, December 31, is priced at 6.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — past week: +1.0 pts; past month: -1.0 pts.
Since January 14, 2026, December 31 has traded between 4.0% and 54.0%. It opened at 54.0% and last traded at 6.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2026 | 5.0% |
| Oct 15, 2026 | 4.5% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 4.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 5.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 5.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 5.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 6.0% |
December 31 is favored at 6.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31 | 6¢ | 6.0% | — | $80.3K | 26.8% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 2¢ (bid 5¢ / ask 7¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$299.7K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Ramzan Kadyrov is currently serving as the Head of the Chechen Republic, the highest political office of the Chechen Republic, a Republic of Russia. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ramzan Kadyrov ceases to be Head of the Chechen Republic for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Ramzan Kadyrov will be considered to cease being the Head of the Chechen Republic if he resigns, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as Head of the Chechen Republic within this market's timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Chechen Republic and the Russian Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 10,574 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Anguished-Reparation | Yes | 10,574 | $634 |
| Dull-Universe | No | 3,825 | $3.6K |
| Stained-Cynic | No | 3,503 | $3.3K |
| Lonely-Jacket | No | 2,844 | $2.7K |
| Pleasing-Flugelhorn | No | 2,712 | $2.5K |
| Jealous-Drink | No | 1,171 | $1.1K |
| Realistic-Payoff | Yes | 857 | $51 |
| 0x93660523… | Yes | 849 | $51 |
| Robust-Crinoline | Yes | 826 | $50 |
| Devoted-Route | Yes | 776 | $47 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 05:54 PM ET | No | BUY | 95.0% | $19 |
| Oct 22, 11:05 AM ET | No | BUY | 95.0% | $5 |
| Oct 21, 11:41 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 5.0% | $2 |
| Oct 21, 11:30 AM ET | No | BUY | 95.0% | $13 |
| Oct 21, 10:30 AM ET | No | BUY | 95.0% | $3 |
| Oct 21, 10:19 AM ET | No | BUY | 95.0% | $16 |
| Oct 21, 10:19 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 7.0% | $58 |
| Oct 21, 07:30 AM ET | No | SELL | 95.0% | $1 |
| Oct 21, 05:26 AM ET | No | SELL | 95.0% | $0 |
| Oct 21, 05:25 AM ET | No | BUY | 97.0% | $6 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is December 31 at 6.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/kadyrov-out-as-head-of-the-chechen-republic-by?via=bro
$299.7K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
December 31, priced at 6.0% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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