As of October 24, 2026, 09:00 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Yes at 82.5% in Kansas passes ballot measure banning noncitizens from voting? — $2.3K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Yes, is priced at 82.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +2.0 pts; past week: +0.5 pts.
Since October 01, 2026, Yes has traded between 80.5% and 94.0%. It opened at 90.5% and last traded at 82.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | 82.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 82.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 82.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 81.5% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 80.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 80.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 82.5% |
Yes is favored at 82.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 82¢ | 82.5% | +2.0 pts | $2.3K | 100.0% |
| No | 18¢ | 17.5% | -2.0 pts | $2.3K | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 5¢ (bid 80¢ / ask 85¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$2.3K has been traded on this event in total, $208 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end November 03, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The Kansas Citizenship Voting Requirement Amendment (HCR 5004) is a legislatively referred measure that is scheduled to appear as a ballot measure in Kansas in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would amend the Kansas Constitution to provide that only a citizen of the United States is eligible to vote in elections in Kansas. This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of the Kansas statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”. Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Kansas, including the Kansas Secretary of State (https://sos.ks.gov/).
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 501 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Unselfish-Mineral-Sunday | No | 501 | $88 |
| Bad-Fool-Enrollment | Yes | 426 | $352 |
| Belated-Glue | No | 215 | $38 |
| Crazy-Fishmonger | Yes | 175 | $144 |
| Known-Use | Yes | 113 | $93 |
| Tepid-Tug | Yes | 96 | $79 |
| Straight-Wrinkle | No | 43 | $7 |
| Infatuated-Nun | No | 30 | $5 |
| Glamorous-Maternity-Anxiety | No | 10 | $2 |
| Unnatural-Kitsch-Revolution | No | 10 | $2 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 09:09 AM ET | No | SELL | 17.0% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 09:09 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 83.0% | $3 |
| Oct 24, 09:05 AM ET | No | SELL | 18.0% | $6 |
| Oct 24, 09:05 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 82.0% | $16 |
| Oct 24, 09:05 AM ET | No | SELL | 18.4% | $10 |
| Oct 24, 09:05 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 81.0% | $60 |
| Oct 24, 08:35 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 81.0% | $15 |
| Oct 23, 07:34 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 81.0% | $11 |
| Oct 23, 07:26 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 81.0% | $4 |
| Oct 23, 09:35 AM ET | No | SELL | 19.0% | $4 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET, the leading outcome is Yes at 82.5%. Next is No at 17.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/kansas-passes-ballot-measure-banning-noncitizens-from-voting?via=bro
$2.3K in total volume, with $208 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end November 03, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Yes, priced at 82.5% as of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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