As of October 24, 2026, 08:53 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Party A at 50.0% in Kathmandu Mayoral Election Winner — $3.9K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Party A, is priced at 50.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +0.0 pts; past week: +0.0 pts; past month: +0.0 pts.
Party A is favored at 50.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Party A | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party B | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party C | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party D | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party E | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party F | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party G | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party H | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party I | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party J | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party K | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party L | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party M | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party N | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party O | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party P | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party Q | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party R | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party S | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party T | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party U | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party V | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party W | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party X | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party Y | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party Z | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Other | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| RSP | 46¢ | 45.5% | +1.0 pts | $1.4K | 35.1% |
| Congress | 18¢ | 17.5% | +1.0 pts | $691 | 17.9% |
| UML | 14¢ | 14.0% | +3.0 pts | $941 | 24.4% |
| Independent | 6¢ | 6.0% | -4.0 pts | $579 | 15.0% |
| NCP | 5¢ | 5.1% | — | $292 | 7.6% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 100¢ (bid 0¢ / ask 100¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$3.9K has been traded on this event in total, $60 of it in the last 24 hours, across 32 markets.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
Local elections in Nepal, including the election for the mayor of Kathmandu Metropolitan City (Kathmandu Mahanagarpalika), are expected to be held in 2027. This market will resolve according to the political party of the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Kathmandu as a result of this election. A candidate's party will be determined by the party under which the candidate is registered with the Election Commission, Nepal. A candidate who is only endorsed or backed by a party will not count for that party. A candidate registered without a party affiliation will count as "Independent". If a listed party merges into another party before the election, a candidate registered under the resulting party will count for the listed party; if this would apply to more than one listed party, the candidate will count for the listed party that comes first alphabetically as listed in this market. Temporary, interim, acting, or placeholder mayors will not be considered. For purposes of this market, the listed options represent political parties, or “Independent”, not individual candidates. The candidates may be named in the market options for the convenience of traders once candidacies are finalized. … (condensed)
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 163 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 163 | $81 |
| Admirable-Trust | Yes | 69 | $34 |
| Glossy-Believer | Yes | 46 | $23 |
| Starry-Studio | Yes | 20 | $10 |
| Fair-Tan | Yes | 18 | $9 |
| Victorious-Tape-Max | Yes | 10 | $5 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 03:40 AM ET | No | BUY | 61.0% | $12 |
| Oct 24, 03:40 AM ET | No | BUY | 54.0% | $11 |
| Oct 23, 09:20 PM ET | No | BUY | 55.0% | $11 |
| Oct 23, 06:58 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 41.0% | $8 |
| Oct 23, 12:07 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 8.0% | $2 |
| Oct 22, 10:40 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 14.0% | $2 |
| Oct 22, 05:07 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 13.0% | $0 |
| Oct 22, 04:51 AM ET | No | SELL | 83.0% | $1 |
| Oct 22, 04:24 AM ET | No | SELL | 90.0% | $1 |
| Oct 22, 04:24 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 10.0% | $2 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET, the leading outcome is Party A at 50.0%. Next is Party B at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/kathmandu-mayoral-election-winner-2027?via=bro
$3.9K in total volume, with $60 traded in the last 24 hours across 32 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
Party A, priced at 50.0% as of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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