Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

Kathmandu Mayoral Election Winner

As of October 24, 2026, 08:53 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Party A at 50.0% in Kathmandu Mayoral Election Winner — $3.9K traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $60.
Leading outcome
Party A
50%
A 50.0% price implies roughly a 50-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
24H +0.0 pts7D +0.0 pts30D +0.0 pts
Party A50.0%
Party B50.0%
Bid
0¢
Ask
100¢
Spread
100¢
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Market facts

Event data
Event
Kathmandu Mayoral Election Winner
Category
Nepal, Politics, Elections, Main Election, Nepal Election, World Elections, Global Elections, Mayoral Elections
Scheduled end
December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET
Total volume
$3.9K
Volume (24h)
$60
Liquidity
$24.9K
Markets
32
Leading outcome
Party A — 50.0%

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, Party A, is priced at 50.0%.

Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +0.0 pts; past week: +0.0 pts; past month: +0.0 pts.

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

Party A is favored at 50.0%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
Party A50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Party B50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Party C50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Party D50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Party E50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Party F50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Party G50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Party H50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Party I50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Party J50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Party K50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Party L50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Party M50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Party N50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Party O50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Party P50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Party Q50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Party R50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Party S50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Party T50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Party U50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Party V50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Party W50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Party X50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Party Y50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Party Z50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Other50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
RSP46¢45.5%+1.0 pts$1.4K35.1%
Congress18¢17.5%+1.0 pts$69117.9%
UML14¢14.0%+3.0 pts$94124.4%
Independent6¢6.0%-4.0 pts$57915.0%
NCP5¢5.1%—$2927.6%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 100¢ (bid 0¢ / ask 100¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$3.9K has been traded on this event in total, $60 of it in the last 24 hours, across 32 markets.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.

Local elections in Nepal, including the election for the mayor of Kathmandu Metropolitan City (Kathmandu Mahanagarpalika), are expected to be held in 2027. This market will resolve according to the political party of the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Kathmandu as a result of this election. A candidate's party will be determined by the party under which the candidate is registered with the Election Commission, Nepal. A candidate who is only endorsed or backed by a party will not count for that party. A candidate registered without a party affiliation will count as "Independent". If a listed party merges into another party before the election, a candidate registered under the resulting party will count for the listed party; if this would apply to more than one listed party, the candidate will count for the listed party that comes first alphabetically as listed in this market. Temporary, interim, acting, or placeholder mayors will not be considered. For purposes of this market, the listed options represent political parties, or “Independent”, not individual candidates. The candidates may be named in the market options for the convenience of traders once candidacies are finalized. … (condensed)

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 163 shares of No.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
0xa5ef39c3…No163$81
Admirable-TrustYes69$34
Glossy-BelieverYes46$23
Starry-StudioYes20$10
Fair-TanYes18$9
Victorious-Tape-MaxYes10$5

What are the latest trades?

Tape
BUY No — $136 at 70.0%BUY No — $58 at 72.0%BUY Yes — $55 at 28.0%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 24, 03:40 AM ETNoBUY61.0%$12
Oct 24, 03:40 AM ETNoBUY54.0%$11
Oct 23, 09:20 PM ETNoBUY55.0%$11
Oct 23, 06:58 PM ETYesBUY41.0%$8
Oct 23, 12:07 AM ETYesSELL8.0%$2
Oct 22, 10:40 PM ETYesSELL14.0%$2
Oct 22, 05:07 AM ETYesSELL13.0%$0
Oct 22, 04:51 AM ETNoSELL83.0%$1
Oct 22, 04:24 AM ETNoSELL90.0%$1
Oct 22, 04:24 AM ETYesBUY10.0%$2

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Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of Kathmandu Mayoral Election Winner?

As of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET, the leading outcome is Party A at 50.0%. Next is Party B at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/kathmandu-mayoral-election-winner-2027?via=bro

How much money has been traded on Kathmandu Mayoral Election Winner?

$3.9K in total volume, with $60 traded in the last 24 hours across 32 markets.

When does Kathmandu Mayoral Election Winner end?

The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.

What is the most likely outcome of Kathmandu Mayoral Election Winner, according to Polymarket traders?

Party A, priced at 50.0% as of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

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