As of October 24, 2026, 08:16 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Hsieh Kuo-liang at 57.0% in Keelung Mayor Election Winner — $14.0K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Hsieh Kuo-liang, is priced at 57.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -0.5 pts; past week: -17.0 pts; past month: -17.0 pts.
Since August 14, 2026, Hsieh Kuo-liang has traded between 57.0% and 89.0%. It opened at 78.5% and last traded at 57.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | 74.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 74.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 73.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 71.5% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 57.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 57.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 57.0% |
Hsieh Kuo-liang is favored at 57.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hsieh Kuo-liang | 57¢ | 57.0% | -0.5 pts | $5.6K | 39.8% |
| Candidate A | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate B | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate C | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate D | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate E | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate F | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate G | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate H | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate I | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate J | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate K | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate L | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate M | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate N | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate O | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate P | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate Q | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate R | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate S | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate T | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate U | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate V | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate W | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate X | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate Y | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate Z | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Other | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Tung Tzu-wei | 34¢ | 33.5% | -0.5 pts | $8.4K | 60.2% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 4¢ (bid 55¢ / ask 59¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$14.0K has been traded on this event in total, $242 of it in the last 24 hours, across 29 markets.
This market is scheduled to end November 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Keelung as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Resolution source: https://db.cec.gov.tw/
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 3,752 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 3,752 | $1.6K |
| Hideous-Racer | Yes | 1,700 | $969 |
| Disguised-Pajamas | Yes | 1,074 | $612 |
| baybug | Yes | 744 | $424 |
| Misty-Butterfly-Undertaker | No | 310 | $133 |
| Known-Use | Yes | 134 | $76 |
| Old-Fashioned-Clove | Yes | 100 | $57 |
| Elderly-Cupola | Yes | 74 | $42 |
| Odd-Relish | Yes | 72 | $41 |
| Incompatible-Larva | Yes | 68 | $39 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 01:03 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 30.5% | $74 |
| Oct 23, 07:24 PM ET | No | BUY | 45.0% | $5 |
| Oct 23, 02:37 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 39.0% | $39 |
| Oct 23, 01:12 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 39.0% | $2 |
| Oct 23, 05:31 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 40.0% | $20 |
| Oct 23, 04:16 AM ET | No | BUY | 58.0% | $29 |
| Oct 23, 02:23 AM ET | No | BUY | 37.0% | $17 |
| Oct 22, 09:33 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 41.0% | $4 |
| Oct 22, 09:33 AM ET | No | BUY | 41.0% | $4 |
| Oct 22, 09:32 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 41.0% | $15 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is Hsieh Kuo-liang at 57.0%. Next is Candidate A at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/keelung-mayor-election-winner-20260813135716100?via=bro
$14.0K in total volume, with $242 traded in the last 24 hours across 29 markets.
The market is scheduled to end November 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://db.cec.gov.tw/.
Hsieh Kuo-liang, priced at 57.0% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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