As of October 24, 2026, 06:30 PM ET, Polymarket traders price 6-9 points behind at 48.5% in Keisha Lance Bottoms runs behind Jon Ossoff by...? (First Round) — $5.6K traded so far.
The leading outcome, 6-9 points behind, is priced at 48.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -1.5 pts; past week: +2.5 pts.
Since October 14, 2026, 6-9 points behind has traded between 37.0% and 48.5%. It opened at 37.0% and last traded at 48.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 38.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 39.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 41.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 43.0% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 45.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 45.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 48.5% |
6-9 points behind is favored at 48.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6-9 points behind | 48¢ | 48.5% | -1.5 pts | $1.3K | 23.1% |
| 3-6 points behind | 36¢ | 36.5% | +7.5 pts | $1.2K | 21.9% |
| 9+ points behind | 16¢ | 16.0% | +6.5 pts | $1.5K | 26.9% |
| 0-3 points behind | 2¢ | 2.2% | +1.1 pts | $918 | 16.4% |
| Runs ahead | 0¢ | 0.4% | -0.1 pts | $655 | 11.7% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 7¢ (bid 45¢ / ask 52¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$5.6K has been traded on this event in total, $1.2K of it in the last 24 hours, across 5 markets.
This market is scheduled to end November 03, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The 2026 Georgia general election is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. Keisha Lance Bottoms is the Democratic nominee for Governor of Georgia, and Jon Ossoff is the Democratic nominee for United States Senate in Georgia. This market will resolve based on how many percentage points Keisha Lance Bottoms’ vote share in the 2026 Georgia gubernatorial election falls below Jon Ossoff’s vote share in the 2026 Georgia U.S. Senate election. If Bottoms’ vote share exceeds Ossoff’s, this market will resolve to “Runs ahead”. Each candidate’s vote share will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes for that candidate by the sum of all valid votes cast in that candidate’s respective race, including write-in votes, calculated from the certified vote totals without rounding. This market will consider only the first round of each election. For a race that includes a runoff, ranked-choice, or other multi-round process, the relevant vote share will be that of the first round — the initial count of votes before any runoff, reallocation, or elimination of candidates. If the reported difference falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. … (condensed)
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 371 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 371 | $191 |
| Small-Fellow-Mandolin | Yes | 218 | $106 |
| Candid-Encirclement | Yes | 105 | $51 |
| Fair-Tan | Yes | 70 | $34 |
| Golden-Panpipe | No | 68 | $35 |
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 24 | $12 |
| Evil-Row | Yes | 20 | $10 |
| 0xd0d90cd5… | Yes | 5 | $2 |
| Scary-Neck-Vascular | No | 3 | $1 |
| Decimal-Goggles-Mincemeat | No | 1 | $1 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 05:24 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 35.0% | $5 |
| Oct 24, 02:30 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 16.0% | $3 |
| Oct 24, 12:48 PM ET | No | SELL | 53.0% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 12:47 PM ET | No | BUY | 54.0% | $10 |
| Oct 24, 12:34 PM ET | No | BUY | 57.0% | $11 |
| Oct 24, 12:23 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 39.0% | $8 |
| Oct 24, 11:45 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 44.0% | $4 |
| Oct 24, 09:44 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 45.0% | $9 |
| Oct 24, 05:12 AM ET | No | SELL | 55.0% | $11 |
| Oct 24, 03:34 AM ET | No | SELL | 80.0% | $5 |
As of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET, the leading outcome is 6-9 points behind at 48.5%. Next is 3-6 points behind at 36.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/keisha-lance-bottoms-runs-behind-jon-ossoff-by-first-round?via=bro
$5.6K in total volume, with $1.2K traded in the last 24 hours across 5 markets.
The market is scheduled to end November 03, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
6-9 points behind, priced at 48.5% as of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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