Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

Kelowna Centre British Columbia Legislative Assembly Election Winner

As of October 24, 2026, 08:23 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Kristina Loewen at 87.5% in Kelowna Centre British Columbia Legislative Assembly Election Winner — $5.3K traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $376.
Leading outcome
Kristina Loewen
88%
A 87.5% price implies roughly a 88-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
24H +14.5 pts7D +19.5 pts
Kristina Loewen87.5%
Person A50.0%
Bid
76¢
Ask
99¢
Spread
23¢
Trade on Polymarket →
Range since October 08, 2026: 38.5% – 73.0% · Opened at 63.0%

Market facts

Event data
Event
Kelowna Centre British Columbia Legislative Assembly Election Winner
Category
World, Canada, Politics, Elections, World Elections, British Columbia, Global Elections, International Election Props
Scheduled end
October 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET
Total volume
$5.3K
Volume (24h)
$376
Liquidity
$11.2K
Markets
30
Leading outcome
Kristina Loewen — 87.5%
Resolution source
https://elections.bc.ca/

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, Kristina Loewen, is priced at 87.5%.

Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +14.5 pts; past week: +19.5 pts.

Since October 08, 2026, Kristina Loewen has traded between 38.5% and 73.0%. It opened at 63.0% and last traded at 73.0%.

DayClose
Oct 15, 202670.5%
Oct 16, 202669.0%
Oct 18, 202663.5%
Oct 19, 202667.0%
Oct 20, 202668.5%
Oct 22, 202672.0%
Oct 23, 202673.0%

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

Kristina Loewen is favored at 87.5%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
Kristina Loewen88¢87.5%+14.5 pts$2.9K53.8%
Person A50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person B50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person C50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person D50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person E50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person F50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person G50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person H50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person I50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person J50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person K50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person L50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person M50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person N50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person O50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person P50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person Q50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person R50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person S50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person T50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person U50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person V50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person W50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person X50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person Y50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person Z50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Other50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Loyal Wooldridge13¢13.0%-10.0 pts$1.8K33.6%
Bill Desrosiers1¢0.9%+0.1 pts$66912.6%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 23¢ (bid 76¢ / ask 99¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$5.3K has been traded on this event in total, $376 of it in the last 24 hours, across 30 markets.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end October 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

General elections to elect all 93 members of the Legislative Assembly of British Columbia are scheduled to take place on October 24, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Kelowna Centre British Columbia Legislative Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections BC (https://elections.bc.ca/).

Resolution source: https://elections.bc.ca/

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 495 shares of No.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
0xa5ef39c3…No495$62
Glaring-Sediment-TrigonometryYes417$365
Belated-GlueNo220$28
Caring-EclipseYes194$170
Thankful-Allegation-FahrenheitYes126$110
Small-Fellow-MandolinNo120$15
Infatuated-NunNo70$9
Instructive-BillionYes60$52
Dismal-MoustacheYes40$35
Mad-SchoolYes40$35

What are the latest trades?

Tape
BUY Yes — $300 at 72.0%BUY No — $230 at 88.0%BUY Yes — $73 at 72.8%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 24, 08:33 AM ETYesBUY91.0%$27
Oct 24, 08:33 AM ETNoBUY91.0%$27
Oct 24, 08:33 AM ETNoBUY99.9%$30
Oct 24, 08:32 AM ETYesBUY91.0%$27
Oct 24, 08:32 AM ETNoBUY91.0%$27
Oct 24, 08:32 AM ETNoBUY99.9%$30
Oct 24, 07:39 AM ETYesBUY67.0%$13
Oct 24, 06:41 AM ETNoBUY72.0%$16
Oct 24, 12:52 AM ETNoSELL75.0%$9
Oct 24, 12:35 AM ETNoSELL75.7%$32

Related markets

More Politics

Brazil Presidential Election

Flávio Bolsonaro 83.8% · 24H VOL $2.01M

Serbia Parliamentary Election Winner

Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia 71.5% · 24H VOL $649.0K

Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of Kelowna Centre British Columbia Legislative Assembly Election Winner?

As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is Kristina Loewen at 87.5%. Next is Person A at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/kelowna-centre-british-columbia-legislative-assembly-election-winner?via=bro

How much money has been traded on Kelowna Centre British Columbia Legislative Assembly Election Winner?

$5.3K in total volume, with $376 traded in the last 24 hours across 30 markets.

When does Kelowna Centre British Columbia Legislative Assembly Election Winner end?

The market is scheduled to end October 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://elections.bc.ca/.

What is the most likely outcome of Kelowna Centre British Columbia Legislative Assembly Election Winner, according to Polymarket traders?

Kristina Loewen, priced at 87.5% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

Trade it on Polymarket

Prices move fast. Check the live book, read the resolution rules, and size small while you learn.

Sign Up on Polymarket

New here? Start with the complete beginner guide, then run any stake through the payout calculator before you trade.