Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

Kennedy Center demolition announced by...?

As of October 24, 2026, 09:00 PM ET, Polymarket traders price December 31 at 12.5% in Kennedy Center demolition announced by...? — $2.1K traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $0.
Leading outcome
December 31
12%
A 12.5% price implies roughly a 12-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
7D −2.0 pts30D −20.0 pts
December 3112.5%
October 312.5%
Bid
12¢
Ask
13¢
Spread
1¢
Trade on Polymarket →
Range since September 17, 2026: 11.5% – 44.5% · Opened at 44.5%

Market facts

Event data
Event
Kennedy Center demolition announced by...?
Category
Trump, Politics, Washington DC, Kennedy Center
Scheduled end
December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET
Total volume
$2.1K
Volume (24h)
$0
Liquidity
$20.9K
Markets
2
Leading outcome
December 31 — 12.5%

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, December 31, is priced at 12.5%.

Price changes for the leading market — past week: -2.0 pts; past month: -20.0 pts.

Since September 17, 2026, December 31 has traded between 11.5% and 44.5%. It opened at 44.5% and last traded at 12.5%.

DayClose
Oct 17, 202614.5%
Oct 18, 202614.0%
Oct 19, 202611.5%
Oct 20, 202611.5%
Oct 22, 202612.5%
Oct 23, 202612.5%
Oct 24, 202612.5%

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

December 31 is favored at 12.5%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
December 3112¢12.5%—$88441.7%
October 312¢2.5%—$37717.8%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 1¢ (bid 12¢ / ask 13¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$2.1K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 2 markets.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, the White House, the Kennedy Center (acting through its Board of Trustees or leadership), or a U.S. federal agency with authority over the Kennedy Center site, or an authorized representative thereof, publicly and officially announces that it plans to demolish the John F. Kennedy Center for the Performing Arts between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For purposes of this market, "demolish" means the physical destruction, razing, or tearing down of all or a structurally substantial portion of the existing Kennedy Center building. Demolition does not include interior renovation, restoration, reconfiguration, seating or fixture replacement, cosmetic changes, façade or signage changes (including the addition of any name to the building), closure of the venue, or repair work, however extensive. A qualifying announcement must be a declarative statement of the present commencement of demolition, previously-unannounced prior commencement of demolition, or a definitive decision to commence demolition in present or future. Statements that merely allude to, reference, or describe possible demolition, without clearly communicating that demolition has commenced or will commence, do not qualify. … (condensed)

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 250 shares of No.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
Weird-FreedomNo250$219
Belated-GlueYes56$7
Straight-WrinkleYes40$5
Creamy-GeologyYes40$5
Plastic-DuckYes20$2
Plump-ImplementationYes20$2
Altruistic-Elver-IkebanaYes20$2
Hasty-RhinocerosYes20$2
Motionless-Windshield-LessonYes20$2
Fixed-EagletYes19$2

What are the latest trades?

Tape
BUY No — $155 at 64.4%BUY No — $132 at 74.3%BUY No — $38 at 79.0%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 15, 07:04 AM ETYesSELL3.0%$1
Oct 10, 09:09 PM ETYesSELL13.0%$3
Oct 10, 02:51 PM ETYesBUY17.0%$2
Oct 10, 09:41 AM ETNoBUY79.0%$38
Oct 09, 05:21 PM ETYesBUY5.0%$0
Oct 07, 05:59 PM ETNoBUY83.0%$17
Oct 07, 05:59 PM ETNoBUY83.0%$17
Oct 07, 05:59 PM ETYesSELL17.0%$3
Oct 06, 09:05 PM ETYesBUY5.0%$1
Oct 06, 09:01 PM ETYesSELL4.0%$1

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Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of Kennedy Center demolition announced by...??

As of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET, the leading outcome is December 31 at 12.5%. Next is October 31 at 2.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/kennedy-center-demolition-announced-byptptpt?via=bro

How much money has been traded on Kennedy Center demolition announced by...??

$2.1K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 2 markets.

When does Kennedy Center demolition announced by...? end?

The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

What is the most likely outcome of Kennedy Center demolition announced by...?, according to Polymarket traders?

December 31, priced at 12.5% as of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

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