As of October 24, 2026, 09:00 PM ET, Polymarket traders price December 31 at 12.5% in Kennedy Center demolition announced by...? — $2.1K traded so far.
The leading outcome, December 31, is priced at 12.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — past week: -2.0 pts; past month: -20.0 pts.
Since September 17, 2026, December 31 has traded between 11.5% and 44.5%. It opened at 44.5% and last traded at 12.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | 14.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 14.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 11.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 11.5% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 12.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 12.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 12.5% |
December 31 is favored at 12.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31 | 12¢ | 12.5% | — | $884 | 41.7% |
| October 31 | 2¢ | 2.5% | — | $377 | 17.8% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 1¢ (bid 12¢ / ask 13¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$2.1K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 2 markets.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, the White House, the Kennedy Center (acting through its Board of Trustees or leadership), or a U.S. federal agency with authority over the Kennedy Center site, or an authorized representative thereof, publicly and officially announces that it plans to demolish the John F. Kennedy Center for the Performing Arts between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For purposes of this market, "demolish" means the physical destruction, razing, or tearing down of all or a structurally substantial portion of the existing Kennedy Center building. Demolition does not include interior renovation, restoration, reconfiguration, seating or fixture replacement, cosmetic changes, façade or signage changes (including the addition of any name to the building), closure of the venue, or repair work, however extensive. A qualifying announcement must be a declarative statement of the present commencement of demolition, previously-unannounced prior commencement of demolition, or a definitive decision to commence demolition in present or future. Statements that merely allude to, reference, or describe possible demolition, without clearly communicating that demolition has commenced or will commence, do not qualify. … (condensed)
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 250 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Weird-Freedom | No | 250 | $219 |
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 56 | $7 |
| Straight-Wrinkle | Yes | 40 | $5 |
| Creamy-Geology | Yes | 40 | $5 |
| Plastic-Duck | Yes | 20 | $2 |
| Plump-Implementation | Yes | 20 | $2 |
| Altruistic-Elver-Ikebana | Yes | 20 | $2 |
| Hasty-Rhinoceros | Yes | 20 | $2 |
| Motionless-Windshield-Lesson | Yes | 20 | $2 |
| Fixed-Eaglet | Yes | 19 | $2 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 07:04 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 3.0% | $1 |
| Oct 10, 09:09 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 13.0% | $3 |
| Oct 10, 02:51 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 17.0% | $2 |
| Oct 10, 09:41 AM ET | No | BUY | 79.0% | $38 |
| Oct 09, 05:21 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 5.0% | $0 |
| Oct 07, 05:59 PM ET | No | BUY | 83.0% | $17 |
| Oct 07, 05:59 PM ET | No | BUY | 83.0% | $17 |
| Oct 07, 05:59 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 17.0% | $3 |
| Oct 06, 09:05 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 5.0% | $1 |
| Oct 06, 09:01 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 4.0% | $1 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET, the leading outcome is December 31 at 12.5%. Next is October 31 at 2.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/kennedy-center-demolition-announced-byptptpt?via=bro
$2.1K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 2 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
December 31, priced at 12.5% as of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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