Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

Kentucky Governor Republican Primary Winner (2027)

As of October 24, 2026, 06:33 PM ET, Polymarket traders price James Comer at 82.0% in Kentucky Governor Republican Primary Winner (2027) — $5.8K traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $761.
Leading outcome
James Comer
82%
A 82.0% price implies roughly a 82-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
24H −3.5 pts7D +26.0 pts
James Comer82.0%
Other50.0%
Bid
80¢
Ask
84¢
Spread
4¢
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Range since October 16, 2026: 66.5% – 85.5% · Opened at 69.5%

Market facts

Event data
Event
Kentucky Governor Republican Primary Winner (2027)
Category
Politics, Elections, Primaries, US Election, Governor Primary, Kentucky Primary, primary elections, Republican Primary
Scheduled end
May 18, 2027, 11:59 PM ET
Total volume
$5.8K
Volume (24h)
$761
Liquidity
$72.1K
Markets
39
Leading outcome
James Comer — 82.0%

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, James Comer, is priced at 82.0%.

Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -3.5 pts; past week: +26.0 pts.

Since October 16, 2026, James Comer has traded between 66.5% and 85.5%. It opened at 69.5% and last traded at 82.0%.

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

James Comer is favored at 82.0%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
James Comer82¢82.0%-3.5 pts$3.5K59.9%
Other50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate A50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate B50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate C50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate D50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate E50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate F50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate G50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate H50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate I50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate J50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate K50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate L50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate M50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate N50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate O50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate P50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate Q50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate R50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate S50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate T50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate U50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate V50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate W50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate X50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate Y50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate Z50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate AA50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate AB50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate AC50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate AD50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Thomas Massie12¢11.5%+0.5 pts$5118.8%
Savannah Maddox4¢4.4%+1.5 pts$5018.6%
Daniel Cameron2¢2.3%+1.2 pts$2734.7%
Rick Hardin2¢1.5%+1.0 pts$2253.9%
Brett St. Amand1¢1.4%—$2504.3%
Nate Morris1¢1.1%—$3455.9%
Charles "Bruiser" Martin0¢0.5%—$2303.9%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 4¢ (bid 80¢ / ask 84¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$5.8K has been traded on this event in total, $761 of it in the last 24 hours, across 39 markets.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end May 18, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican nomination to contest the Kentucky governorship in 2027. The Republican primary is scheduled to take place on May 18, 2027. If no nominee is announced by November 2, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Kentucky Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 346 shares of Yes.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
Pure-ThreatYes346$284
Unselfish-Mineral-SundayYes341$279
0xa5ef39c3…No223$40
Belated-GlueNo153$28
Liquid-ArgumentNo118$21
bakayo33 - 9934Yes52$43
Direct-ChainstayNo42$8
Best-DotNo33$6
Rowdy-TenementNo30$5
Firsthand-Swimming-HashNo24$4

What are the latest trades?

Tape
SELL No — $56 at 93.0%BUY Yes — $37 at 67.0%SELL No — $35 at 92.0%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 24, 09:33 AM ETNoSELL20.0%$7
Oct 24, 09:33 AM ETNoSELL20.0%$0
Oct 24, 09:33 AM ETYesBUY81.0%$6
Oct 24, 09:33 AM ETYesBUY81.0%$11
Oct 24, 09:33 AM ETYesBUY80.0%$11
Oct 24, 09:33 AM ETYesBUY81.0%$11
Oct 24, 09:33 AM ETNoSELL20.0%$6
Oct 24, 09:33 AM ETYesBUY80.0%$16
Oct 24, 09:33 AM ETYesBUY80.0%$11
Oct 24, 09:33 AM ETYesBUY80.0%$7

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Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of Kentucky Governor Republican Primary Winner (2027)?

As of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET, the leading outcome is James Comer at 82.0%. Next is Other at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/kentucky-governor-republican-primary-winner-2027?via=bro

How much money has been traded on Kentucky Governor Republican Primary Winner (2027)?

$5.8K in total volume, with $761 traded in the last 24 hours across 39 markets.

When does Kentucky Governor Republican Primary Winner (2027) end?

The market is scheduled to end May 18, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.

What is the most likely outcome of Kentucky Governor Republican Primary Winner (2027), according to Polymarket traders?

James Comer, priced at 82.0% as of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

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