As of October 24, 2026, 08:20 PM ET, Polymarket traders price <5 at 97.2% in Khamenei # posts October 20 - October 27, 2026? — $8.0K traded so far.
The leading outcome, <5, is priced at 97.2%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +1.8 pts; past week: +15.2 pts.
Since October 18, 2026, <5 has traded between 74.0% and 97.2%. It opened at 83.0% and last traded at 97.2%.
<5 is favored at 97.2%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <5 | 97¢ | 97.2% | +1.8 pts | $1.9K | 24.3% |
| 5-9 | 2¢ | 1.9% | -0.9 pts | $2.0K | 25.1% |
| 10-14 | 0¢ | 0.2% | -0.1 pts | $517 | 6.5% |
| 15-19 | 0¢ | 0.2% | -0.3 pts | $537 | 6.7% |
| 20-24 | 0¢ | 0.2% | -0.3 pts | $537 | 6.7% |
| 25-29 | 0¢ | 0.2% | -0.3 pts | $490 | 6.2% |
| 30-34 | 0¢ | 0.2% | -0.2 pts | $306 | 3.8% |
| 35-39 | 0¢ | 0.1% | -0.2 pts | $286 | 3.6% |
| 40-44 | 0¢ | 0.1% | -0.2 pts | $330 | 4.2% |
| 50-54 | 0¢ | 0.1% | -0.2 pts | $246 | 3.1% |
| 55-59 | 0¢ | 0.1% | -0.2 pts | $246 | 3.1% |
| 60+ | 0¢ | 0.1% | -0.2 pts | $246 | 3.1% |
| 45-49 | 0¢ | 0.1% | -0.4 pts | $286 | 3.6% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 0¢ (bid 97¢ / ask 97¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$8.0K has been traded on this event in total, $451 of it in the last 24 hours, across 13 markets.
This market is scheduled to end October 27, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between October 20, 12:00 PM ET and October 27, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolution source: https://x.com/khamenei_ir
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 492 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 492 | $14 |
| Smooth-Evolution | Yes | 287 | $279 |
| Silent-Rowboat | Yes | 200 | $194 |
| 0x8673d3a1… | Yes | 128 | $125 |
| Brief-Taxpayer | Yes | 100 | $97 |
| Starry-Studio | Yes | 98 | $96 |
| Austere-Geology | No | 96 | $3 |
| Old-Fashioned-Handholding-Viscose | No | 90 | $2 |
| Past-Disguise | No | 87 | $2 |
| Plaintive-Bankbook | Yes | 86 | $84 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 07:18 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 93.0% | $0 |
| Oct 24, 02:22 PM ET | No | BUY | 2.1% | $0 |
| Oct 24, 02:22 PM ET | No | BUY | 2.6% | $0 |
| Oct 24, 02:22 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 8.9% | $5 |
| Oct 24, 02:22 PM ET | No | BUY | 99.9% | $12 |
| Oct 24, 12:25 PM ET | No | BUY | 98.7% | $8 |
| Oct 24, 12:25 PM ET | No | BUY | 2.1% | $0 |
| Oct 24, 12:25 PM ET | No | BUY | 99.9% | $8 |
| Oct 24, 11:36 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 97.9% | $12 |
| Oct 24, 10:38 AM ET | No | SELL | 2.0% | $0 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is <5 at 97.2%. Next is 5-9 at 1.9%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/khamenei-of-tweets-october-20-october-27-2026?via=bro
$8.0K in total volume, with $451 traded in the last 24 hours across 13 markets.
The market is scheduled to end October 27, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. It resolves based on https://x.com/khamenei_ir.
<5, priced at 97.2% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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