As of October 24, 2026, 09:19 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 97.1% in Kim Jong Un visits the US in 2026? — $365 traded so far.
The leading outcome, No, is priced at 97.1%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -0.4 pts; past week: -0.1 pts; past month: +0.1 pts.
Since August 18, 2026, No has traded between 95.2% and 99.0%. It opened at 96.4% and last traded at 97.1%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 97.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 96.7% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 96.7% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 96.8% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 96.8% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 97.1% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 97.1% |
No is favored at 97.1%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | 97¢ | 97.1% | +0.4 pts | $365 | 100.0% |
| Yes | 3¢ | 2.9% | -0.4 pts | $365 | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 3¢ (bid 1¢ / ask 4¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$365 has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Supreme Leader of North Korea Kim Jong Un visits the United States between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Kim Jong Un physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States. Whether or not Kim Jong Un enters US airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. For purposes of this market, territory of the United States excludes military bases or diplomatic compounds that are not otherwise within the sovereign territory of the United States. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US or North Korea, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 107 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Happy-Dinosaur | No | 107 | $104 |
| Expert-Tepee | Yes | 85 | $2 |
| 0x9a855e10… | Yes | 69 | $2 |
| This-Councilor | No | 48 | $46 |
| Loathsome-Ox | No | 39 | $38 |
| Mortified-Wetland | Yes | 32 | $1 |
| Cool-Pattypan | Yes | 25 | $1 |
| Nutty-Impostor | No | 25 | $24 |
| Gloomy-Frigate | Yes | 22 | $1 |
| Grim-Garage | Yes | 20 | $1 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 05:13 PM ET | No | BUY | 97.9% | $10 |
| Oct 15, 03:24 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 4.4% | $2 |
| Sep 26, 01:50 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 4.4% | $1 |
| Sep 24, 08:45 AM ET | No | BUY | 98.8% | $13 |
| Sep 18, 05:44 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 1.0% | $0 |
| Sep 02, 07:34 PM ET | No | BUY | 97.1% | $19 |
| Sep 02, 07:34 PM ET | No | BUY | 97.2% | $19 |
| Sep 02, 07:34 PM ET | No | BUY | 97.0% | $19 |
| Sep 02, 07:34 PM ET | No | BUY | 96.6% | $7 |
| Sep 02, 07:34 PM ET | No | BUY | 96.6% | $39 |
As of October 24, 2026, 09:17 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 97.1%. Next is Yes at 2.9%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/kim-jong-un-visits-the-us-in-2026?via=bro
$365 in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
No, priced at 97.1% as of October 24, 2026, 09:17 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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