As of October 24, 2026, 08:15 PM ET, Polymarket traders price December 31 at 8.5% in Kimberly Guilfoyle federally charged by...? — $16.6K traded so far.
The leading outcome, December 31, is priced at 8.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — past week: +3.0 pts.
Since October 13, 2026, December 31 has traded between 5.5% and 22.0%. It opened at 22.0% and last traded at 8.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 5.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 14.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 10.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 9.5% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 8.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 8.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 8.5% |
December 31 is favored at 8.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31 | 8¢ | 8.5% | — | $12.9K | 77.7% |
| October 31 | 1¢ | 0.5% | — | $3.7K | 22.3% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 1¢ (bid 8¢ / ask 9¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$16.6K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 2 markets.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Kimberly Guilfoyle between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 1,117 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Flippant-Speech | No | 1,117 | $1.0K |
| Puzzled-Heirloom | Yes | 742 | $63 |
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 554 | $47 |
| Known-Use | No | 360 | $330 |
| Perfumed-Moat | Yes | 348 | $30 |
| Nautical-Placement | No | 335 | $307 |
| Gleaming-Handlebar | Yes | 125 | $11 |
| Awesome-Checkbook-Hose | Yes | 120 | $10 |
| True-Futon | Yes | 111 | $9 |
| Nifty-Standpoint | No | 72 | $66 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 08:59 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 8.0% | $1 |
| Oct 22, 08:27 AM ET | No | BUY | 99.8% | $399 |
| Oct 21, 03:30 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 9.0% | $0 |
| Oct 21, 03:30 PM ET | No | BUY | 92.0% | $10 |
| Oct 21, 03:30 PM ET | No | BUY | 91.0% | $10 |
| Oct 21, 03:30 PM ET | No | BUY | 91.0% | $10 |
| Oct 21, 03:30 PM ET | No | BUY | 91.0% | $10 |
| Oct 21, 03:30 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 9.0% | $5 |
| Oct 20, 11:18 AM ET | No | SELL | 90.0% | $1 |
| Oct 19, 06:17 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 0.3% | $0 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is December 31 at 8.5%. Next is October 31 at 0.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/kimberly-guilfoyle-federally-charged-byptptpt?via=bro
$16.6K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 2 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
December 31, priced at 8.5% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.
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