As of October 24, 2026, 08:17 PM ET, Polymarket traders price June 30, 2027 at 73.0% in Kimi (Moonshot AI) IPO by...? — $12.8K traded so far.
The leading outcome, June 30, 2027, is priced at 73.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — past week: +2.5 pts; past month: -13.5 pts.
Since September 09, 2026, June 30, 2027 has traded between 51.5% and 87.5%. It opened at 51.5% and last traded at 73.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 70.5% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 70.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 70.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 70.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 70.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 73.0% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 73.0% |
June 30, 2027 is favored at 73.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 30, 2027 | 73¢ | 73.0% | — | $4.4K | 34.5% |
| March 31, 2027 | 22¢ | 22.5% | -2.0 pts | $6.3K | 49.3% |
| December 31, 2026 | 2¢ | 1.6% | — | $2.1K | 16.3% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 4¢ (bid 71¢ / ask 75¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$12.8K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 3 markets.
This market is scheduled to end June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Moonshot AI, the developer of Kimi, completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by Moonshot AI to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If Moonshot AI is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 1,004 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gracious-Geranium | Yes | 1,004 | $733 |
| Overcooked-Monitoring | No | 604 | $163 |
| Growing-Way | No | 293 | $79 |
| Subdued-Revenant | No | 120 | $32 |
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 58 | $42 |
| Snappy-Rooster | Yes | 29 | $22 |
| Wicked-Flour | No | 21 | $6 |
| Wet-Event | No | 20 | $5 |
| Standard-Thunderhead | No | 20 | $5 |
| Adventurous-Democrat-Pickaxe | No | 20 | $5 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 05:21 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 72.0% | $15 |
| Oct 19, 01:55 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 70.0% | $28 |
| Oct 17, 07:53 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 25.0% | $5 |
| Oct 15, 06:22 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 23.0% | $5 |
| Oct 15, 05:52 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 22.0% | $4 |
| Oct 15, 03:02 PM ET | No | BUY | 76.0% | $30 |
| Oct 15, 08:33 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 20.0% | $8 |
| Oct 15, 08:26 AM ET | No | BUY | 77.0% | $15 |
| Oct 15, 06:12 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 1.5% | $1 |
| Oct 15, 03:10 AM ET | No | BUY | 98.7% | $80 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is June 30, 2027 at 73.0%. Next is March 31, 2027 at 22.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/kimi-moonshot-ai-ipo-by?via=bro
$12.8K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 3 markets.
The market is scheduled to end June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
June 30, 2027, priced at 73.0% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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