As of October 24, 2026, 08:17 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Chen Yu-jen at 95.5% in Kinmen County Magistrate Election Winner — $12.3K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Chen Yu-jen, is priced at 95.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — past month: +0.5 pts.
Since August 14, 2026, Chen Yu-jen has traded between 84.5% and 95.5%. It opened at 84.5% and last traded at 95.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 95.5% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 95.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 95.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 95.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 95.5% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 95.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 95.5% |
Chen Yu-jen is favored at 95.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chen Yu-jen | 96¢ | 95.5% | — | $10.8K | 87.2% |
| Candidate A | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate B | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate C | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate D | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate E | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate F | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate G | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate H | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate I | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate J | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate K | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate L | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate M | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate N | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate O | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate P | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate Q | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate R | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate S | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate T | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate U | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate V | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate W | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate X | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate Y | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate Z | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Other | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Li Wen-liang | 3¢ | 2.8% | +0.4 pts | $539 | 4.4% |
| Liang Wen-tao | 2¢ | 2.2% | -0.2 pts | $412 | 3.3% |
| Yang Cheng-wu | 0¢ | 0.3% | — | $627 | 5.1% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 1¢ (bid 95¢ / ask 96¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$12.3K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 31 markets.
This market is scheduled to end November 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Kinmen County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Resolution source: https://db.cec.gov.tw/
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 655 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vapid-Breakpoint | Yes | 655 | $626 |
| Muted-Cardigan | Yes | 310 | $296 |
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 260 | $12 |
| Sarcastic-Door | No | 210 | $9 |
| Turbulent-Decline-Router | No | 209 | $9 |
| Bouncy-Saving | No | 160 | $7 |
| Belated-Glue | No | 128 | $6 |
| Wan-Gymnastics | Yes | 93 | $89 |
| RepublicOfChina | Yes | 85 | $82 |
| Perfumed-Moat | No | 58 | $3 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 08:56 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 95.0% | $47 |
| Oct 22, 02:18 AM ET | No | SELL | 4.0% | $0 |
| Oct 18, 10:57 PM ET | No | SELL | 95.3% | $1 |
| Oct 18, 09:27 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 95.0% | $1 |
| Oct 13, 11:39 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 95.0% | $5 |
| Oct 13, 11:39 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 96.0% | $576 |
| Sep 27, 04:37 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 95.0% | $13 |
| Sep 24, 05:29 AM ET | No | BUY | 5.0% | $2 |
| Sep 24, 05:29 AM ET | No | BUY | 99.8% | $40 |
| Sep 24, 05:29 AM ET | No | BUY | 98.9% | $40 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is Chen Yu-jen at 95.5%. Next is Candidate A at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/kinmen-county-magistrate-election-winner-202608131357161500?via=bro
$12.3K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 31 markets.
The market is scheduled to end November 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://db.cec.gov.tw/.
Chen Yu-jen, priced at 95.5% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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