As of October 24, 2026, 08:53 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) at 88.5% in Kolkata Municipal Election Winner — $3.9K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP), is priced at 88.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +0.5 pts; past week: -4.0 pts; past month: +2.0 pts.
Since September 08, 2026, Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) has traded between 67.5% and 95.0%. It opened at 67.5% and last traded at 88.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 92.5% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 92.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 92.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 92.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 92.5% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 88.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 88.0% |
Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) is favored at 88.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) | 88¢ | 88.5% | +0.5 pts | $2.7K | 69.8% |
| Party A | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party B | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party C | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party D | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party E | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party F | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party G | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party H | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party I | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party J | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party K | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party L | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party M | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party N | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party O | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party P | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party Q | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party R | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party S | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party T | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party U | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party V | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party W | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party X | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party Y | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party Z | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Other | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Nationalist Congress Party (NCP) | 20¢ | 20.1% | +9.8 pts | $318 | 8.1% |
| Indian National Congress (INC) | 7¢ | 6.6% | -5.9 pts | $241 | 6.2% |
| All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) | 5¢ | 5.1% | -0.1 pts | $402 | 10.3% |
| Left Front (LF) | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $222 | 5.7% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 9¢ (bid 84¢ / ask 93¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$3.9K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 32 markets.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 06:59 PM ET.
Municipal elections are to be scheduled to be held for the Kolkata Municipal Corporation, India, in December 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party or listed alliance that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Kolkata municipal elections. The “Left Front” alliance will include all seats won by Communist Party of India (Marxist) (CPI(M)), Communist Party of India (CPI), All India Forward Bloc (AIFB), Revolutionary Socialist Party (RSP), Communist Party of India (Marxist–Leninist) Liberation (CPI(ML)L), Revolutionary Communist Party of India (RCPI), Marxist Forward Bloc (MFB). Independent candidates will not be considered for resolution. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple listed parties or alliances for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the listed party or alliance that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the listed party or alliance whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or alliance in the Kolkata Municipal Corporation. … (condensed)
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 481 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dull-Universe | Yes | 481 | $426 |
| Straight-Wrinkle | No | 300 | $34 |
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 227 | $26 |
| Awesome-Availability | Yes | 202 | $179 |
| 0xf040b361… | Yes | 106 | $94 |
| Grim-Garage | No | 102 | $12 |
| Belated-Glue | No | 97 | $11 |
| Stale-Cashew | No | 52 | $6 |
| Specific-Crow | Yes | 50 | $44 |
| Straight-Hunting | No | 40 | $5 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 07:19 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 4.7% | $2 |
| Oct 22, 07:05 AM ET | No | SELL | 92.4% | $3 |
| Oct 22, 07:05 AM ET | No | BUY | 97.8% | $32 |
| Oct 22, 07:05 AM ET | No | BUY | 98.6% | $32 |
| Oct 22, 07:05 AM ET | No | BUY | 10.0% | $3 |
| Oct 22, 07:01 AM ET | No | BUY | 10.0% | $1 |
| Oct 22, 07:01 AM ET | No | BUY | 97.5% | $12 |
| Oct 22, 07:01 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 7.2% | $1 |
| Oct 20, 08:48 AM ET | No | BUY | 10.0% | $1 |
| Oct 19, 11:14 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 3.0% | $1 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET, the leading outcome is Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) at 88.5%. Next is Party A at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/kolkata-municipal-election-winner?via=bro
$3.9K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 32 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 06:59 PM ET.
Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP), priced at 88.5% as of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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