As of October 24, 2026, 06:26 PM ET, Polymarket traders price December 31, 2027 at 76.5% in Kraken IPO by ___ ? — $1.62M traded so far.
The leading outcome, December 31, 2027, is priced at 76.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +2.5 pts; past week: +13.5 pts; past month: +2.0 pts.
Since August 25, 2026, December 31, 2027 has traded between 36.0% and 77.5%. It opened at 59.5% and last traded at 76.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 76.5% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 62.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 61.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 54.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 63.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 75.0% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 76.5% |
December 31, 2027 is favored at 76.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31, 2027 | 76¢ | 76.5% | +2.5 pts | $2.3K | 0.1% |
| June 30, 2027 | 45¢ | 45.0% | -4.0 pts | $2.5K | 0.2% |
| March 31, 2027 | 22¢ | 22.0% | +2.0 pts | $3.5K | 0.2% |
| December 31, 2026 | 6¢ | 5.6% | +0.1 pts | $573.3K | 35.4% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 7¢ (bid 73¢ / ask 80¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$1.62M has been traded on this event in total, $300 of it in the last 24 hours, across 5 markets.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kraken shares are listed on a public securities exchange and open for trading by 11:59 PM ET on the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". To qualify, the IPO must result in the company's shares being listed on a public securities exchange and open for trading. Filing an S-1 or announcing IPO intentions alone does not qualify. If Kraken is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market is official filings and announcements from Kraken and the relevant securities exchange on which the shares are listed, including SEC filings (e.g., Form S-1, Form 8-A), exchange listing confirmations, and official press releases from Kraken; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 742 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Subdued-Revenant | Yes | 742 | $568 |
| Skeletal-Liver | No | 200 | $47 |
| Belated-Glue | No | 146 | $34 |
| 0x0b72a81b… | No | 118 | $28 |
| Amazing-Antelope-Shakedown | No | 69 | $16 |
| Speedy-Bartender | No | 50 | $12 |
| Elated-Conspirator-Copying | No | 36 | $8 |
| Notable-Nun-Cutting | No | 32 | $8 |
| 0xecf933cc… | No | 29 | $7 |
| 0x0f6902b8… | No | 28 | $7 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 03:58 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 48.0% | $3 |
| Oct 24, 03:58 PM ET | No | SELL | 53.0% | $3 |
| Oct 24, 04:27 AM ET | No | SELL | 76.0% | $15 |
| Oct 23, 11:58 PM ET | No | SELL | 55.0% | $11 |
| Oct 23, 08:28 PM ET | No | SELL | 56.0% | $11 |
| Oct 23, 08:12 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 30.0% | $6 |
| Oct 23, 07:29 PM ET | No | BUY | 79.0% | $7 |
| Oct 23, 07:09 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 36.0% | $7 |
| Oct 23, 06:49 PM ET | No | BUY | 56.0% | $34 |
| Oct 23, 06:39 PM ET | No | BUY | 54.0% | $11 |
As of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET, the leading outcome is December 31, 2027 at 76.5%. Next is June 30, 2027 at 45.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/kraken-ipo-in-2025?via=bro
$1.62M in total volume, with $300 traded in the last 24 hours across 5 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
December 31, 2027, priced at 76.5% as of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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