As of October 24, 2026, 08:12 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 98.2% in Kristi Noem impeached in 2026? — $23.0K traded so far.
The leading outcome, No, is priced at 98.2%.
Price changes for the leading market — past week: -0.9 pts; past month: -1.1 pts.
Since January 19, 2026, No has traded between 75.0% and 98.3%. It opened at 80.5% and last traded at 98.2%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 97.3% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 97.4% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 98.2% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 98.3% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 98.2% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 98.2% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 98.2% |
No is favored at 98.2%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | 98¢ | 98.2% | — | $23.0K | 100.0% |
| Yes | 2¢ | 1.8% | — | $23.0K | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 2¢ (bid 1¢ / ask 3¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$23.0K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of United States Secretary of Homeland Security Kristi Noem, between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 846 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Giving-Petticoat | No | 846 | $832 |
| Skinny-Advocacy | No | 748 | $735 |
| Grim-Garage | Yes | 413 | $7 |
| Clear-Screenwriting | No | 298 | $293 |
| Calm-Supervision | Yes | 200 | $4 |
| Downright-Website | No | 200 | $196 |
| Occasional-Tilt | Yes | 187 | $3 |
| Humongous-Fannypack | No | 161 | $158 |
| Straight-Wrinkle | Yes | 150 | $3 |
| Mellow-Conversation | Yes | 149 | $3 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 10:25 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 1.3% | $0 |
| Oct 18, 10:19 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 0.8% | $1 |
| Oct 18, 05:28 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 2.5% | $1 |
| Oct 03, 03:42 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 2.5% | $2 |
| Sep 18, 09:01 AM ET | No | SELL | 97.1% | $19 |
| Sep 12, 04:40 AM ET | No | BUY | 96.7% | $193 |
| Sep 12, 02:55 AM ET | No | SELL | 95.6% | $11 |
| Sep 12, 02:55 AM ET | No | SELL | 95.7% | $18 |
| Sep 12, 02:55 AM ET | No | SELL | 96.3% | $29 |
| Sep 09, 06:37 AM ET | No | SELL | 95.6% | $25 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 98.2%. Next is Yes at 1.8%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/kristi-noem-impeached-in-2026?via=bro
$23.0K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
No, priced at 98.2% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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