As of October 24, 2026, 07:55 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Michael Echols at 8.8% in LA-05 Republican Primary Winner — $69.0K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Michael Echols, is priced at 8.8%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -0.3 pts; past week: +1.1 pts; past month: +4.0 pts.
Since March 26, 2026, Michael Echols has traded between 0.9% and 40.5%. It opened at 40.5% and last traded at 9.1%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2026 | 6.2% |
| Oct 15, 2026 | 6.5% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 7.1% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 7.8% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 7.7% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 8.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 9.1% |
Michael Echols is favored at 8.8%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Echols | 9¢ | 8.8% | -0.3 pts | $19.4K | 28.1% |
| Blake Miguez | 6¢ | 6.3% | +0.3 pts | $32.0K | 46.4% |
| Misti Cordell | 3¢ | 3.4% | +0.1 pts | $2.0K | 2.9% |
| Michael Mebruer | 2¢ | 1.7% | -0.1 pts | $1.3K | 1.9% |
| Rick Edmonds | 2¢ | 1.5% | — | $6.0K | 8.7% |
| Austin Magee | 2¢ | 1.5% | -0.1 pts | $2.1K | 3.0% |
| Samuel Wyatt | 1¢ | 1.4% | -0.3 pts | $6.2K | 9.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 4¢ (bid 7¢ / ask 11¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$69.0K has been traded on this event in total, $9 of it in the last 24 hours, across 23 markets.
This market is scheduled to end May 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the LA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 16, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolution source: https://www.rnc.org/
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 884 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 884 | $806 |
| Outlandish-Complicity | Yes | 307 | $27 |
| Rubbery-Policy | Yes | 200 | $18 |
| Prickly-Eyrie | No | 197 | $180 |
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 154 | $14 |
| Bad-Dolor | Yes | 132 | $12 |
| Stale-Cashew | Yes | 100 | $9 |
| Homely-Cardigan | Yes | 87 | $8 |
| Snarling-Inspection-External | Yes | 83 | $7 |
| Female-Tailbud | Yes | 77 | $7 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 04:51 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 6.6% | $1 |
| Oct 23, 02:21 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 13.1% | $1 |
| Oct 23, 02:21 PM ET | No | BUY | 86.9% | $21 |
| Oct 23, 02:21 PM ET | No | BUY | 86.8% | $33 |
| Oct 23, 02:21 PM ET | No | BUY | 86.9% | $22 |
| Oct 23, 02:21 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 15.8% | $8 |
| Oct 23, 04:33 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 11.5% | $4 |
| Oct 22, 03:27 PM ET | No | BUY | 88.4% | $21 |
| Oct 22, 12:51 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 13.4% | $3 |
| Oct 22, 12:51 PM ET | No | BUY | 87.0% | $17 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is Michael Echols at 8.8%. Next is Blake Miguez at 6.3%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/la-05-republican-primary-winner?via=bro
$69.0K in total volume, with $9 traded in the last 24 hours across 23 markets.
The market is scheduled to end May 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://www.rnc.org/.
Michael Echols, priced at 8.8% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.
Prices move fast. Check the live book, read the resolution rules, and size small while you learn.
Sign Up on PolymarketNew here? Start with the complete beginner guide, then run any stake through the payout calculator before you trade.