Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

LA Mayoral Election: Court Rules 1st Round Fraudulent?

As of October 24, 2026, 09:09 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 59.1% in LA Mayoral Election: Court Rules 1st Round Fraudulent? — $1.1K traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 09:03 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $0.
Leading outcome
No
59%
A 59.1% price implies roughly a 59-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
24H +18.3 pts7D +20.1 pts30D +21.6 pts
No59.1%
Yes40.9%
Bid
5¢
Ask
76¢
Spread
71¢
Trade on Polymarket →
Range since June 08, 2026: 28.1% – 99.2% · Opened at 88.5%

Market facts

Event data
Event
LA Mayoral Election: Court Rules 1st Round Fraudulent?
Category
Court, fraud, Courts, LA Mayor, Politics, Elections, Los Angeles, Spencer Pratt, United States, mayoral election, Los Angeles Mayoral Election, US Election
Scheduled end
October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET
Total volume
$1.1K
Volume (24h)
$0
Liquidity
$118
Markets
1
Leading outcome
No — 59.1%

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, No, is priced at 59.1%.

Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +18.3 pts; past week: +20.1 pts; past month: +21.6 pts.

Since June 08, 2026, No has traded between 28.1% and 99.2%. It opened at 88.5% and last traded at 76.9%.

DayClose
Oct 17, 202679.4%
Oct 18, 202679.1%
Oct 19, 202672.8%
Oct 20, 202680.0%
Oct 22, 202657.4%
Oct 23, 202676.2%
Oct 24, 202676.9%

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

No is favored at 59.1%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
No59¢59.1%-18.3 pts$1.1K100.0%
Yes41¢40.9%+18.3 pts$1.1K100.0%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 71¢ (bid 5¢ / ask 76¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$1.1K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any court in the United States issues a ruling that widespread fraud, fraudulent conduct, or illegal manipulation of votes occurred during the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A ruling is defined as any written order, judgement, opinion, or decision, including per curiam opinions, summary orders and sua sponte rulings issued by a relevant court. Unwritten oral rulings, tentative rulings, settlements, orders to show cause, or other procedures which do not constitute a finalized ruling will not count. A qualifying ruling of fraud must find that widespread, intentional voter fraud or vote-manipulation occurred during the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election. Procedural irregularities, administrative errors, or isolated rulings on individual cases of voter fraud will not count. The primary resolution source will be official information from the relevant court; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 295 shares of Yes.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
Lean-AttractionYes295$121
Unlucky-ComparisonNo200$118
Gifted-RancherNo113$67
Belated-GlueYes104$43
Organic-AllergistNo102$60
Mortified-WetlandYes55$22
Flat-BadgerNo20$12
Plump-ImplementationNo20$12
Venerated-WormNo20$12
Deep-DirectorYes14$6

What are the latest trades?

Tape
BUY No — $184 at 92.0%BUY No — $62 at 89.0%BUY Yes — $53 at 81.9%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 22, 06:28 PM ETYesBUY21.2%$4
Oct 18, 08:46 PM ETNoSELL93.3%$19
Oct 18, 08:46 PM ETYesBUY5.6%$1
Oct 09, 05:52 AM ETYesBUY19.2%$4
Oct 09, 02:31 AM ETYesBUY18.8%$3
Sep 18, 11:47 AM ETYesSELL0.6%$0
Sep 04, 10:15 PM ETYesSELL2.2%$0
Aug 30, 06:39 PM ETYesSELL2.2%$2
Aug 21, 02:28 PM ETYesBUY1.4%$1
Jul 17, 01:29 AM ETNoBUY99.8%$3

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Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of LA Mayoral Election: Court Rules 1st Round Fraudulent??

As of October 24, 2026, 09:03 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 59.1%. Next is Yes at 40.9%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/la-mayoral-election-court-rules-1st-round-fraudulent-20260607211804480?via=bro

How much money has been traded on LA Mayoral Election: Court Rules 1st Round Fraudulent??

$1.1K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.

When does LA Mayoral Election: Court Rules 1st Round Fraudulent? end?

The market is scheduled to end October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.

What is the most likely outcome of LA Mayoral Election: Court Rules 1st Round Fraudulent?, according to Polymarket traders?

No, priced at 59.1% as of October 24, 2026, 09:03 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

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