As of October 24, 2026, 09:09 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 59.1% in LA Mayoral Election: Court Rules 1st Round Fraudulent? — $1.1K traded so far.
The leading outcome, No, is priced at 59.1%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +18.3 pts; past week: +20.1 pts; past month: +21.6 pts.
Since June 08, 2026, No has traded between 28.1% and 99.2%. It opened at 88.5% and last traded at 76.9%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | 79.4% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 79.1% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 72.8% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 80.0% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 57.4% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 76.2% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 76.9% |
No is favored at 59.1%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | 59¢ | 59.1% | -18.3 pts | $1.1K | 100.0% |
| Yes | 41¢ | 40.9% | +18.3 pts | $1.1K | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 71¢ (bid 5¢ / ask 76¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$1.1K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any court in the United States issues a ruling that widespread fraud, fraudulent conduct, or illegal manipulation of votes occurred during the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A ruling is defined as any written order, judgement, opinion, or decision, including per curiam opinions, summary orders and sua sponte rulings issued by a relevant court. Unwritten oral rulings, tentative rulings, settlements, orders to show cause, or other procedures which do not constitute a finalized ruling will not count. A qualifying ruling of fraud must find that widespread, intentional voter fraud or vote-manipulation occurred during the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election. Procedural irregularities, administrative errors, or isolated rulings on individual cases of voter fraud will not count. The primary resolution source will be official information from the relevant court; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 295 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lean-Attraction | Yes | 295 | $121 |
| Unlucky-Comparison | No | 200 | $118 |
| Gifted-Rancher | No | 113 | $67 |
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 104 | $43 |
| Organic-Allergist | No | 102 | $60 |
| Mortified-Wetland | Yes | 55 | $22 |
| Flat-Badger | No | 20 | $12 |
| Plump-Implementation | No | 20 | $12 |
| Venerated-Worm | No | 20 | $12 |
| Deep-Director | Yes | 14 | $6 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 06:28 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 21.2% | $4 |
| Oct 18, 08:46 PM ET | No | SELL | 93.3% | $19 |
| Oct 18, 08:46 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 5.6% | $1 |
| Oct 09, 05:52 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 19.2% | $4 |
| Oct 09, 02:31 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 18.8% | $3 |
| Sep 18, 11:47 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 0.6% | $0 |
| Sep 04, 10:15 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 2.2% | $0 |
| Aug 30, 06:39 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 2.2% | $2 |
| Aug 21, 02:28 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 1.4% | $1 |
| Jul 17, 01:29 AM ET | No | BUY | 99.8% | $3 |
As of October 24, 2026, 09:03 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 59.1%. Next is Yes at 40.9%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/la-mayoral-election-court-rules-1st-round-fraudulent-20260607211804480?via=bro
$1.1K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
No, priced at 59.1% as of October 24, 2026, 09:03 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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