Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

LA28 Olympics run as scheduled?

As of October 24, 2026, 07:57 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Yes at 88.0% in LA28 Olympics run as scheduled? — $58.3K traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $0.
Leading outcome
Yes
88%
A 88.0% price implies roughly a 88-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
7D +2.6 pts30D +2.5 pts
Yes88.0%
No11.9%
Bid
88¢
Ask
88¢
Spread
1¢
Trade on Polymarket →
Range since July 22, 2026: 73.9% – 95.9% · Opened at 95.9%

Market facts

Event data
Event
LA28 Olympics run as scheduled?
Category
Sports, Culture, 2026 Winter Games, Los Angeles
Scheduled end
July 26, 2028, 02:59 AM ET
Total volume
$58.3K
Volume (24h)
$0
Liquidity
$16.1K
Markets
1
Leading outcome
Yes — 88.0%
Resolution source
https://la28.org/

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, Yes, is priced at 88.0%.

Price changes for the leading market — past week: +2.6 pts; past month: +2.5 pts.

Since July 22, 2026, Yes has traded between 73.9% and 95.9%. It opened at 95.9% and last traded at 88.0%.

DayClose
Oct 17, 202685.4%
Oct 18, 202685.5%
Oct 19, 202685.5%
Oct 20, 202685.5%
Oct 22, 202685.5%
Oct 23, 202688.0%
Oct 24, 202688.0%

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

Yes is favored at 88.0%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
Yes88¢88.0%—$58.3K100.0%
No12¢11.9%—$58.3K100.0%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 1¢ (bid 88¢ / ask 88¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$58.3K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end July 26, 2028, 02:59 AM ET.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if at least 177 gold medals have been officially awarded at the 2028 Los Angeles Olympic Games (LA28) by July 25, 2028, 11:59 PM PT. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purposes of this market, “officially awarded” is defined as the gold-deciding final for the relevant event concluding and the gold medalist(s) being determined under official results. A qualifying awarding will still count towards the total regardless of whether the results are later reviewed or modified. Medal ceremonies aren’t required for an awarding to qualify. Each event will count once towards the total; a team gold or a shared gold will still count as one event. Both the specified threshold and deadline will remain fixed regardless of whether events are added to or cut from the program, or if LA28 is postponed, suspended, shortened, relocated, or rescheduled in any way. Heats, prelims, semifinals, and any phase that doesn’t decide gold will not count. Events postponed past the deadline or cancelled without deciding a gold medalist will not count. If LA28 officially awards at least one gold medal but is cancelled or curtailed, this market will resolve on the number of officially awarded gold medals up until that point. … (condensed)

Resolution source: https://la28.org/

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 1,401 shares of No.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
Kaleidoscopic-HemisphereNo1,401$167
Kosher-TuxedoYes877$772
Snappy-RoosterNo282$34
Daring-BlinkerYes279$246
Grim-CobYes125$110
Wan-GymnasticsYes100$88
Bossy-SunbonnetYes100$88
Tangible-FuelNo100$12
Well-Documented-PeekYes59$52
Youthful-TargetYes55$48

What are the latest trades?

Tape
SELL Yes — $3.8K at 85.6%BUY Yes — $1.9K at 87.4%SELL Yes — $102 at 85.5%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 23, 12:10 PM ETYesSELL87.5%$11
Oct 23, 10:22 AM ETYesBUY87.4%$1.9K
Oct 10, 03:26 AM ETYesSELL85.5%$102
Oct 04, 11:38 AM ETNoSELL14.4%$3
Sep 17, 11:33 AM ETYesSELL85.3%$6
Sep 07, 01:00 AM ETYesSELL85.3%$2
Sep 04, 02:17 PM ETYesSELL85.2%$15
Sep 04, 02:09 PM ETYesSELL85.6%$3.8K
Aug 28, 11:50 AM ETYesSELL85.6%$74
Aug 19, 08:01 AM ETYesSELL85.7%$100

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Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of LA28 Olympics run as scheduled??

As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is Yes at 88.0%. Next is No at 11.9%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/la28-olympics-run-as-scheduled-20260721200040093?via=bro

How much money has been traded on LA28 Olympics run as scheduled??

$58.3K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.

When does LA28 Olympics run as scheduled? end?

The market is scheduled to end July 26, 2028, 02:59 AM ET. It resolves based on https://la28.org/.

What is the most likely outcome of LA28 Olympics run as scheduled?, according to Polymarket traders?

Yes, priced at 88.0% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

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