As of October 24, 2026, 07:57 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Yes at 88.0% in LA28 Olympics run as scheduled? — $58.3K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Yes, is priced at 88.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — past week: +2.6 pts; past month: +2.5 pts.
Since July 22, 2026, Yes has traded between 73.9% and 95.9%. It opened at 95.9% and last traded at 88.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | 85.4% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 85.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 85.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 85.5% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 85.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 88.0% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 88.0% |
Yes is favored at 88.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 88¢ | 88.0% | — | $58.3K | 100.0% |
| No | 12¢ | 11.9% | — | $58.3K | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 1¢ (bid 88¢ / ask 88¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$58.3K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end July 26, 2028, 02:59 AM ET.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if at least 177 gold medals have been officially awarded at the 2028 Los Angeles Olympic Games (LA28) by July 25, 2028, 11:59 PM PT. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purposes of this market, “officially awarded” is defined as the gold-deciding final for the relevant event concluding and the gold medalist(s) being determined under official results. A qualifying awarding will still count towards the total regardless of whether the results are later reviewed or modified. Medal ceremonies aren’t required for an awarding to qualify. Each event will count once towards the total; a team gold or a shared gold will still count as one event. Both the specified threshold and deadline will remain fixed regardless of whether events are added to or cut from the program, or if LA28 is postponed, suspended, shortened, relocated, or rescheduled in any way. Heats, prelims, semifinals, and any phase that doesn’t decide gold will not count. Events postponed past the deadline or cancelled without deciding a gold medalist will not count. If LA28 officially awards at least one gold medal but is cancelled or curtailed, this market will resolve on the number of officially awarded gold medals up until that point. … (condensed)
Resolution source: https://la28.org/
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 1,401 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere | No | 1,401 | $167 |
| Kosher-Tuxedo | Yes | 877 | $772 |
| Snappy-Rooster | No | 282 | $34 |
| Daring-Blinker | Yes | 279 | $246 |
| Grim-Cob | Yes | 125 | $110 |
| Wan-Gymnastics | Yes | 100 | $88 |
| Bossy-Sunbonnet | Yes | 100 | $88 |
| Tangible-Fuel | No | 100 | $12 |
| Well-Documented-Peek | Yes | 59 | $52 |
| Youthful-Target | Yes | 55 | $48 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 12:10 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 87.5% | $11 |
| Oct 23, 10:22 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 87.4% | $1.9K |
| Oct 10, 03:26 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 85.5% | $102 |
| Oct 04, 11:38 AM ET | No | SELL | 14.4% | $3 |
| Sep 17, 11:33 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 85.3% | $6 |
| Sep 07, 01:00 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 85.3% | $2 |
| Sep 04, 02:17 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 85.2% | $15 |
| Sep 04, 02:09 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 85.6% | $3.8K |
| Aug 28, 11:50 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 85.6% | $74 |
| Aug 19, 08:01 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 85.7% | $100 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is Yes at 88.0%. Next is No at 11.9%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/la28-olympics-run-as-scheduled-20260721200040093?via=bro
$58.3K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end July 26, 2028, 02:59 AM ET. It resolves based on https://la28.org/.
Yes, priced at 88.0% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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