Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF - First Team to Score

As of October 24, 2026, 09:16 PM ET, Polymarket traders price FC Barcelona at 61.0% in FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF - First Team to Score — $430 traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 09:03 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $418.
Leading outcome
FC Barcelona
61%
A 61.0% price implies roughly a 61-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
7D +11.5 pts
FC Barcelona61.0%
Real Madrid CF38.5%
Bid
60¢
Ask
62¢
Spread
2¢
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Range since October 12, 2026: 48.0% – 63.0% · Opened at 49.5%

Market facts

Event data
Event
FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF - First Team to Score
Category
Sports, Games, Soccer, La Liga
Scheduled end
October 25, 2026, 04:00 PM ET
Total volume
$430
Volume (24h)
$418
Liquidity
$36.4K
Markets
3
Leading outcome
FC Barcelona — 61.0%
Resolution source
https://www.laliga.com/

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, FC Barcelona, is priced at 61.0%.

Price changes for the leading market — past week: +11.5 pts.

Since October 12, 2026, FC Barcelona has traded between 48.0% and 63.0%. It opened at 49.5% and last traded at 61.0%.

DayClose
Oct 17, 202649.0%
Oct 18, 202663.0%
Oct 19, 202661.5%
Oct 20, 202661.0%
Oct 22, 202660.5%
Oct 23, 202661.0%
Oct 24, 202661.0%

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

FC Barcelona is favored at 61.0%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
FC Barcelona61¢61.0%—$255.9%
Real Madrid CF38¢38.5%+1.0 pts$296.7%
Neither2¢1.6%-0.5 pts$37687.5%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 2¢ (bid 60¢ / ask 62¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$430 has been traded on this event in total, $418 of it in the last 24 hours, across 3 markets.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end October 25, 2026, 04:00 PM ET.

In the upcoming match between FC Barcelona and Real Madrid CF, scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "FC Barcelona" if FC Barcelona are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Real Madrid CF" if Real Madrid CF are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. … (condensed)

Resolution source: https://www.laliga.com/

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 13 shares of No.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
Radiant-ChimpanzeeNo13$5
Scornful-WestNo9$4
0x765e6a48…Yes8$5
Jagged-SpokesmanYes8$5
0xbc69008e…Yes3$2
Triangular-Container-ConstellationYes2$1
Compassionate-RainYes2$1
Winged-Cenotaph-ShellNo2$1
Ill-MixNo2$1
Lonely-DelightYes2$1

What are the latest trades?

Tape
BUY No — $30 at 99.0%BUY Yes — $5 at 40.0%BUY Yes — $5 at 62.4%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 24, 08:17 PM ETNoSELL97.9%$2
Oct 24, 06:19 PM ETYesBUY2.2%$2
Oct 24, 06:17 PM ETYesBUY40.0%$5
Oct 24, 05:53 PM ETNoBUY99.0%$2
Oct 24, 05:52 PM ETNoBUY99.0%$30
Oct 24, 05:52 PM ETNoBUY98.0%$5
Oct 24, 05:25 PM ETYesBUY39.3%$3
Oct 24, 05:17 PM ETYesBUY2.2%$2
Oct 24, 03:26 PM ETYesBUY62.0%$1
Oct 24, 02:29 PM ETYesBUY2.3%$1

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Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF - First Team to Score?

As of October 24, 2026, 09:03 PM ET, the leading outcome is FC Barcelona at 61.0%. Next is Real Madrid CF at 38.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/lal-bar-rea-2026-10-25-first-to-score?via=bro

How much money has been traded on FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF - First Team to Score?

$430 in total volume, with $418 traded in the last 24 hours across 3 markets.

When does FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF - First Team to Score end?

The market is scheduled to end October 25, 2026, 04:00 PM ET. It resolves based on https://www.laliga.com/.

What is the most likely outcome of FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF - First Team to Score, according to Polymarket traders?

FC Barcelona, priced at 61.0% as of October 24, 2026, 09:03 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

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