As of October 24, 2026, 07:49 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Real Madrid CF (-5.5): FC Barcelona at 99.4% in FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF - More Markets — $206.9K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Real Madrid CF (-5.5): FC Barcelona, is priced at 99.4%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -0.5 pts; past week: -11.9 pts.
Since October 12, 2026, Real Madrid CF (-5.5): FC Barcelona has traded between 87.5% and 87.5%. It opened at 87.5% and last traded at 87.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 | 87.5% |
| Oct 13, 2026 | 87.5% |
| Oct 15, 2026 | 87.5% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 87.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 87.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 87.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 87.5% |
Real Madrid CF (-5.5): FC Barcelona is favored at 99.4%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid CF (-5.5): FC Barcelona | 99¢ | 99.4% | +0.5 pts | $500 | 0.2% |
| Real Madrid CF O/U 5.5: Under | 99¢ | 99.2% | +0.1 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| O/U 0.5: Over | 99¢ | 98.8% | +0.1 pts | $555 | 0.3% |
| Real Madrid CF (-4.5): FC Barcelona | 98¢ | 98.4% | — | $500 | 0.2% |
| Real Madrid CF (-3.5): FC Barcelona | 98¢ | 98.2% | -0.3 pts | $411 | 0.2% |
| Real Madrid CF O/U 4.5: Under | 97¢ | 97.0% | +0.1 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| O/U 8.5: Under | 96¢ | 96.5% | -0.1 pts | $515 | 0.2% |
| FC Barcelona (-5.5): Real Madrid CF | 95¢ | 95.0% | +7.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Real Madrid CF 1st Half (-2.5): FC Barcelona | 95¢ | 95.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Real Madrid CF (-2.5): FC Barcelona | 95¢ | 95.0% | -0.2 pts | $5.2K | 2.5% |
| FC Barcelona O/U 5.5: Under | 95¢ | 94.8% | +0.6 pts | $6 | 0.0% |
| FC Barcelona (-4.5): Real Madrid CF | 94¢ | 94.5% | +4.5 pts | $8 | 0.0% |
| O/U 1.5: Over | 94¢ | 93.5% | — | $129 | 0.1% |
| FC Barcelona O/U 0.5: Over | 94¢ | 93.5% | — | $31 | 0.0% |
| 2nd Half O/U 0.5: Over | 93¢ | 93.0% | +31.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| O/U 7.5: Under | 92¢ | 92.5% | — | $1.1K | 0.5% |
| Real Madrid CF 1st Half O/U 3.5: Under | 92¢ | 92.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Real Madrid CF 2nd Half O/U 3.5: Under | 92¢ | 92.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Real Madrid CF 1st Half (-1.5): FC Barcelona | 92¢ | 92.5% | -1.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| 1st Half O/U 4.5: Under | 92¢ | 92.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Real Madrid CF O/U 3.5: Under | 90¢ | 90.5% | +0.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| FC Barcelona 1st Half O/U 2.5: Under | 90¢ | 90.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| FC Barcelona (-3.5): Real Madrid CF | 89¢ | 89.0% | -0.5 pts | $1.6K | 0.8% |
| Real Madrid CF (-1.5): FC Barcelona | 88¢ | 87.5% | — | $8.7K | 4.2% |
| Real Madrid CF 1st Half O/U 2.5: Under | 88¢ | 87.5% | +1.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| 1st Half O/U 0.5: Over | 87¢ | 87.0% | +0.5 pts | $100 | 0.0% |
| Real Madrid CF 1st Half O/U 1.5: Under | 87¢ | 87.0% | -0.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| 1st Half O/U 3.5: Under | 86¢ | 86.5% | -0.5 pts | $7 | 0.0% |
| FC Barcelona O/U 4.5: Under | 86¢ | 86.0% | — | $767 | 0.4% |
| Real Madrid CF 2nd Half (-1.5): FC Barcelona | 84¢ | 84.5% | +34.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| O/U 6.5: Under | 84¢ | 84.0% | -0.5 pts | $874 | 0.4% |
| Real Madrid CF 2nd Half O/U 2.5: Under | 84¢ | 83.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| O/U 2.5: Over | 83¢ | 83.0% | +0.5 pts | $1.1K | 0.5% |
| Real Madrid CF O/U 0.5: Over | 82¢ | 82.5% | — | $1 | 0.0% |
| FC Barcelona 2nd Half (-1.5): Real Madrid CF | 81¢ | 81.0% | +31.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| FC Barcelona 2nd Half O/U 2.5: Under | 78¢ | 78.5% | +28.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| 2nd Half O/U 3.5: Under | 78¢ | 78.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| FC Barcelona 2nd Half O/U 0.5: Over | 78¢ | 78.0% | +28.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| FC Barcelona 1st Half (-1.5): Real Madrid CF | 78¢ | 78.0% | +0.5 pts | $65 | 0.0% |
| Both Teams to Score | 78¢ | 77.5% | +1.0 pts | $48.5K | 23.4% |
| FC Barcelona (-2.5): Real Madrid CF | 77¢ | 77.0% | -0.5 pts | $5.9K | 2.9% |
| FC Barcelona O/U 1.5: Over | 76¢ | 75.5% | — | $314 | 0.2% |
| Real Madrid CF O/U 2.5: Under | 75¢ | 75.0% | — | $106 | 0.1% |
| 2nd Half O/U 1.5: Over | 73¢ | 73.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Real Madrid CF 2nd Half O/U 1.5: Under | 73¢ | 73.0% | +23.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| O/U 5.5: Under | 72¢ | 71.5% | — | $2.2K | 1.1% |
| FC Barcelona O/U 3.5: Under | 72¢ | 71.5% | +0.5 pts | $304 | 0.1% |
| FC Barcelona 1st Half O/U 0.5: Over | 70¢ | 70.5% | -1.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| 1st Half O/U 2.5: Under | 68¢ | 68.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| FC Barcelona 1st Half O/U 1.5: Under | 66¢ | 66.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| O/U 3.5: Over | 66¢ | 65.5% | +0.5 pts | $3.0K | 1.4% |
| Real Madrid CF 2nd Half O/U 0.5: Over | 63¢ | 63.0% | +13.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| 1st Half O/U 1.5: Over | 60¢ | 60.0% | +0.5 pts | $116 | 0.1% |
| FC Barcelona (-1.5): Real Madrid CF | 60¢ | 59.5% | — | $62.9K | 30.4% |
| 2nd Half O/U 2.5: Under | 56¢ | 56.0% | +0.5 pts | $14 | 0.0% |
| FC Barcelona 2nd Half O/U 1.5: Under | 54¢ | 54.0% | +4.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| FC Barcelona 1st Half (-2.5): Real Madrid CF | 54¢ | 54.0% | +3.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| O/U 4.5: Under | 54¢ | 53.5% | — | $58.4K | 28.2% |
| Real Madrid CF O/U 1.5: Over | 53¢ | 53.0% | +1.5 pts | $1.1K | 0.6% |
| Real Madrid CF 1st Half O/U 0.5: Over | 53¢ | 53.0% | +0.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| FC Barcelona 1st Half O/U 3.5: Under | 52¢ | 52.5% | -2.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| 2nd Half O/U 4.5: Under | 52¢ | 52.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| FC Barcelona O/U 2.5: Over | 52¢ | 51.5% | +0.5 pts | $1.3K | 0.6% |
| FC Barcelona 2nd Half O/U 3.5: Under | 50¢ | 50.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Real Madrid CF 2nd Half (-2.5): Real Madrid CF | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Real Madrid CF 2nd Half (-2.5): FC Barcelona | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| FC Barcelona 2nd Half (-2.5): FC Barcelona | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| FC Barcelona 2nd Half (-2.5): Real Madrid CF | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| FC Barcelona 2nd Half O/U 3.5: Over | 50¢ | 49.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| FC Barcelona O/U 2.5: Under | 48¢ | 48.5% | -0.5 pts | $1.3K | 0.6% |
| FC Barcelona 1st Half O/U 3.5: Over | 48¢ | 47.5% | +2.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| 2nd Half O/U 4.5: Over | 48¢ | 47.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Real Madrid CF O/U 1.5: Under | 47¢ | 47.0% | -1.5 pts | $1.1K | 0.6% |
| Real Madrid CF 1st Half O/U 0.5: Under | 47¢ | 47.0% | -0.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Both Teams to Score in Second Half | 47¢ | 47.0% | -1.5 pts | $265 | 0.1% |
| O/U 4.5: Over | 46¢ | 46.5% | — | $58.4K | 28.2% |
| FC Barcelona 2nd Half O/U 1.5: Over | 46¢ | 46.0% | -4.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| FC Barcelona 1st Half (-2.5): FC Barcelona | 46¢ | 46.0% | -3.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| 2nd Half O/U 2.5: Over | 44¢ | 44.0% | -0.5 pts | $14 | 0.0% |
| FC Barcelona (-1.5): FC Barcelona | 40¢ | 40.5% | — | $62.9K | 30.4% |
Plus 53 more outcomes — see the full book on Polymarket.
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 1¢ (bid 0¢ / ask 1¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$206.9K has been traded on this event in total, $118.5K of it in the last 24 hours, across 68 markets.
This market is scheduled to end October 25, 2026, 04:00 PM ET.
In the upcoming La Liga game, scheduled for October 25 at 4:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Real Madrid CF" if Real Madrid CF win the game by 6 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "FC Barcelona". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on laliga.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. … (condensed)
Resolution source: https://www.laliga.com/
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 500 shares of Real Madrid CF.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Buzzing-Veldt | Real Madrid CF | 500 | $3 |
| Brisk-Clockwork-Behalf | FC Barcelona | 351 | $348 |
| Creamy-Guest | FC Barcelona | 121 | $121 |
| Low-Handlebar-Nightlife | FC Barcelona | 23 | $23 |
| Ringed-Waiver | FC Barcelona | 5 | $5 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 07:48 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 78.0% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 07:40 PM ET | No | BUY | 23.0% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 07:40 PM ET | No | BUY | 23.0% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 07:40 PM ET | No | BUY | 23.0% | $8 |
| Oct 24, 07:27 PM ET | Under | BUY | 54.0% | $9 |
| Oct 24, 06:49 PM ET | No | BUY | 23.0% | $14 |
| Oct 24, 06:49 PM ET | No | BUY | 23.0% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 06:49 PM ET | No | BUY | 23.0% | $73 |
| Oct 24, 06:48 PM ET | Real Madrid CF | BUY | 60.0% | $13 |
| Oct 24, 06:31 PM ET | Under | BUY | 54.0% | $10 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is Real Madrid CF (-5.5): FC Barcelona at 99.4%. Next is Real Madrid CF O/U 5.5: Under at 99.2%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/lal-bar-rea-2026-10-25-more-markets?via=bro
$206.9K in total volume, with $118.5K traded in the last 24 hours across 68 markets.
The market is scheduled to end October 25, 2026, 04:00 PM ET. It resolves based on https://www.laliga.com/.
Real Madrid CF (-5.5): FC Barcelona, priced at 99.4% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.
Prices move fast. Check the live book, read the resolution rules, and size small while you learn.
Sign Up on PolymarketNew here? Start with the complete beginner guide, then run any stake through the payout calculator before you trade.