As of October 24, 2026, 09:26 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Neither at 51.0% in Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club - First Team to Score — $62 traded so far.
The leading outcome, Neither, is priced at 51.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -1.0 pts; past week: -0.5 pts.
Since September 27, 2026, Neither has traded between 5.5% and 54.0%. It opened at 47.5% and last traded at 51.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 50.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 50.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 50.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 50.0% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 50.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 50.0% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 51.0% |
Neither is favored at 51.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neither | 51¢ | 51.0% | -1.0 pts | $52 | 83.9% |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $5 | 8.1% |
| Athletic Club | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $5 | 8.1% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 98¢ (bid 2¢ / ask 100¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$62 has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 3 markets.
This market is scheduled to end October 10, 2026, 08:00 AM ET.
In the upcoming match between Rayo Vallecano de Madrid and Athletic Club, scheduled for October 10, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Rayo Vallecano de Madrid" if Rayo Vallecano de Madrid are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Athletic Club" if Athletic Club are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. … (condensed)
Resolution source: https://www.laliga.com/
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 47 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Smug-Variability | No | 47 | $23 |
| Better-Lye | Yes | 27 | $14 |
| Gleeful-Cauliflower | Yes | 20 | $10 |
| Lonely-Bog | Yes | 5 | $3 |
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 5 | $2 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 06:05 AM ET | No | BUY | 99.0% | $5 |
| Oct 11, 06:05 AM ET | No | BUY | 49.0% | $2 |
| Oct 11, 06:00 AM ET | No | BUY | 49.0% | $2 |
| Oct 09, 08:00 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 6.0% | $1 |
| Oct 08, 05:56 PM ET | No | BUY | 94.0% | $10 |
| Oct 08, 05:55 PM ET | No | BUY | 94.0% | $15 |
As of October 24, 2026, 09:25 PM ET, the leading outcome is Neither at 51.0%. Next is Rayo Vallecano de Madrid at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/lal-ray-bil-2026-10-10-first-to-score?via=bro
$62 in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 3 markets.
The market is scheduled to end October 10, 2026, 08:00 AM ET. It resolves based on https://www.laliga.com/.
Neither, priced at 51.0% as of October 24, 2026, 09:25 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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