Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club

As of October 24, 2026, 07:44 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Athletic Club at 46.0% in Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club — $1.00M traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $393.
Leading outcome
Athletic Club
46%
A 46.0% price implies roughly a 46-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
24H −0.5 pts7D −6.0 pts
Athletic Club46.0%
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid32.0%
Bid
41¢
Ask
51¢
Spread
10¢
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Range since September 27, 2026: 36.5% – 52.5% · Opened at 40.5%

Market facts

Event data
Event
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club
Category
Sports, Games, Soccer, La Liga
Scheduled end
October 10, 2026, 08:00 AM ET
Total volume
$1.00M
Volume (24h)
$393
Liquidity
$46.7K
Markets
3
Leading outcome
Athletic Club — 46.0%
Resolution source
https://www.laliga.com/

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, Athletic Club, is priced at 46.0%.

Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -0.5 pts; past week: -6.0 pts.

Since September 27, 2026, Athletic Club has traded between 36.5% and 52.5%. It opened at 40.5% and last traded at 46.0%.

DayClose
Oct 15, 202652.5%
Oct 16, 202652.5%
Oct 18, 202647.5%
Oct 19, 202646.5%
Oct 20, 202646.0%
Oct 23, 202646.5%
Oct 24, 202646.0%

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

Athletic Club is favored at 46.0%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
Athletic Club46¢46.0%-0.5 pts$764.8K76.4%
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid32¢32.0%-0.5 pts$206.4K20.6%
Draw (Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club)32¢32.0%-4.0 pts$29.7K3.0%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 10¢ (bid 41¢ / ask 51¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$1.00M has been traded on this event in total, $393 of it in the last 24 hours, across 3 markets.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end October 10, 2026, 08:00 AM ET.

In the upcoming game, scheduled for October 10, 2026 If Athletic Club wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.

Resolution source: https://www.laliga.com/

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 408,119 shares of Yes.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
Busy-Wolf-SpectacleYes408,119$187.7K
Wan-FlashNo91,236$49.3K
Incredible-Vegetarian-StencilNo80,794$43.6K
Glass-SupperYes47,475$21.8K
0x9f15613ebf1f36d4bc679e1211d1fc567cf9bdb3No30,926$16.7K
Itchy-Sunlamp-ToadNo28,805$15.6K
Grown-Difference-BurnoutNo27,657$14.9K
Gleeful-CauliflowerNo25,470$13.8K
Ironclad-HouseworkNo20,632$11.1K
Shameless-DaisyNo15,000$8.1K

What are the latest trades?

Tape
BUY Yes — $194 at 38.7%SELL Yes — $152 at 30.4%SELL Yes — $107 at 30.9%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 24, 05:46 PM ETYesBUY51.0%$10
Oct 24, 04:24 PM ETYesSELL41.0%$1
Oct 24, 02:57 PM ETYesSELL41.0%$19
Oct 24, 02:04 PM ETYesSELL28.0%$8
Oct 24, 02:00 PM ETYesSELL41.0%$0
Oct 24, 12:37 PM ETYesBUY52.5%$24
Oct 24, 12:25 PM ETYesBUY51.0%$5
Oct 24, 12:04 PM ETNoBUY70.0%$1
Oct 24, 11:57 AM ETYesBUY50.7%$20
Oct 24, 09:50 AM ETYesSELL40.0%$1

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Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club?

As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is Athletic Club at 46.0%. Next is Rayo Vallecano de Madrid at 32.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/lal-ray-bil-2026-10-10?via=bro

How much money has been traded on Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club?

$1.00M in total volume, with $393 traded in the last 24 hours across 3 markets.

When does Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club end?

The market is scheduled to end October 10, 2026, 08:00 AM ET. It resolves based on https://www.laliga.com/.

What is the most likely outcome of Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club, according to Polymarket traders?

Athletic Club, priced at 46.0% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

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