As of October 24, 2026, 08:13 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 82.5% in Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026? — $21.0K traded so far.
The leading outcome, No, is priced at 82.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -1.0 pts; past week: +9.5 pts; past month: +7.0 pts.
Since March 27, 2026, No has traded between 68.5% and 92.0%. It opened at 72.0% and last traded at 82.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 92.0% |
| Oct 17, 2026 | 92.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 92.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 90.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 83.5% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 83.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 82.5% |
No is favored at 82.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | 82¢ | 82.5% | +1.0 pts | $21.0K | 100.0% |
| Yes | 18¢ | 17.5% | -1.0 pts | $21.0K | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 15¢ (bid 10¢ / ask 25¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$21.0K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any bill with the effect of banning CFTC-regulated prediction markets from offering sports betting contracts is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any bill that prohibits federally regulated prediction markets from offering sports betting contracts, or otherwise places such activities under state-level gambling regulation rather than federal regulatory oversight, will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 2,456 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sociable-Rooster | Yes | 2,456 | $430 |
| Playful-Manservant | No | 2,175 | $1.8K |
| Gorgeous-Cry-Depth | No | 1,071 | $883 |
| Optimal-Miss | Yes | 1,000 | $175 |
| Prickly-Signup | No | 444 | $366 |
| Best-Dot | Yes | 299 | $52 |
| Creative-Wheel | No | 219 | $181 |
| Vibrant-Mussel | Yes | 157 | $27 |
| Single-Challenge | No | 152 | $125 |
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 149 | $26 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 10:21 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 12.0% | $1 |
| Oct 19, 06:33 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 9.0% | $3 |
| Oct 19, 03:47 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 8.0% | $0 |
| Oct 09, 06:15 AM ET | No | SELL | 91.0% | $1 |
| Oct 09, 06:15 AM ET | No | BUY | 93.0% | $1 |
| Sep 30, 07:25 PM ET | No | BUY | 91.0% | $974 |
| Sep 27, 07:49 AM ET | No | SELL | 88.0% | $8 |
| Sep 27, 05:25 AM ET | No | BUY | 90.0% | $8 |
| Sep 13, 11:58 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 11.0% | $0 |
| Sep 13, 07:30 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 8.0% | $1 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 82.5%. Next is Yes at 17.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/law-banning-sports-prediction-markets-enacted-in-2026?via=bro
$21.0K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
No, priced at 82.5% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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