Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

Le Pen ankle monitor before French Presidential Election?

As of October 24, 2026, 08:56 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 90.5% in Le Pen ankle monitor before French Presidential Election? — $3.1K traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $0.
Leading outcome
No
90%
A 90.5% price implies roughly a 90-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
30D −1.0 pts
No90.5%
Yes9.5%
Bid
9¢
Ask
10¢
Spread
1¢
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Range since July 09, 2026: 70.5% – 92.0% · Opened at 70.5%

Market facts

Event data
Event
Le Pen ankle monitor before French Presidential Election?
Category
France, Politics, Marine Le Pen, French Election, French Elections
Scheduled end
April 18, 2027, 07:59 PM ET
Total volume
$3.1K
Volume (24h)
$0
Liquidity
$10.6K
Markets
1
Leading outcome
No — 90.5%

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, No, is priced at 90.5%.

Price changes for the leading market — past month: -1.0 pts.

Since July 09, 2026, No has traded between 70.5% and 92.0%. It opened at 70.5% and last traded at 90.5%.

DayClose
Oct 16, 202690.5%
Oct 18, 202690.5%
Oct 19, 202690.5%
Oct 20, 202690.5%
Oct 23, 202690.5%
Oct 24, 202690.5%
Oct 24, 202690.5%

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

No is favored at 90.5%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
No90¢90.5%—$3.1K100.0%
Yes10¢9.5%—$3.1K100.0%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 1¢ (bid 9¢ / ask 10¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$3.1K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end April 18, 2027, 07:59 PM ET.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Marine Le Pen wears a court-ordered or legally imposed electronic monitoring device at any time between market creation and April 17, 2027, at 11:59 PM Paris time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve solely based on whether Marine Le Pen actually wears a court-ordered or legally imposed electronic monitoring device during the specified time frame, regardless of any pending or future appeal, outstanding sentence, change to her candidacy or eligibility status, or other legal proceeding or formality. Fitness monitoring devices, smartwatches, or other similar consumer-grade wearable technology will not qualify. A brief fitting, test, demonstration, or other non-compulsory use of an electronic monitoring device will not qualify unless Le Pen wears the device as part of an active electronic monitoring measure imposed by a court or other competent legal authority. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 929 shares of No.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
Prickly-OffenseNo929$841
Verifiable-ObstacleYes519$49
Straight-HuntingYes250$24
Wan-GymnasticsNo170$154
Acceptable-PuddingYes115$11
Grim-GarageYes102$10
Trivial-IdeaNo100$90
Belated-GlueYes90$9
Nutritious-PalmYes50$5
Known-UseYes50$5

What are the latest trades?

Tape
BUY No — $258 at 86.0%BUY No — $225 at 90.0%SELL No — $192 at 85.3%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 21, 01:11 PM ETYesBUY10.0%$5
Oct 20, 07:16 AM ETNoSELL90.0%$5
Oct 18, 04:57 PM ETNoBUY91.0%$1
Oct 04, 04:43 PM ETYesSELL8.0%$2
Oct 04, 04:43 PM ETNoBUY91.0%$64
Oct 03, 06:47 PM ETYesBUY10.0%$2
Sep 28, 01:16 AM ETYesSELL8.0%$2
Sep 28, 01:16 AM ETYesSELL9.0%$11
Sep 28, 01:16 AM ETNoBUY90.0%$225
Sep 15, 08:14 PM ETYesBUY9.0%$3

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Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of Le Pen ankle monitor before French Presidential Election??

As of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 90.5%. Next is Yes at 9.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/le-pen-ankle-monitor-before-french-presidential-election-20260708202050689?via=bro

How much money has been traded on Le Pen ankle monitor before French Presidential Election??

$3.1K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.

When does Le Pen ankle monitor before French Presidential Election? end?

The market is scheduled to end April 18, 2027, 07:59 PM ET.

What is the most likely outcome of Le Pen ankle monitor before French Presidential Election?, according to Polymarket traders?

No, priced at 90.5% as of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

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