As of October 24, 2026, 07:57 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Goldman Sachs at 49.0% in Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO? — $56.7K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Goldman Sachs, is priced at 49.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -6.0 pts; past week: -8.0 pts; past month: -29.0 pts.
Since May 21, 2026, Goldman Sachs has traded between 25.5% and 86.0%. It opened at 50.0% and last traded at 49.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 58.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 52.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 33.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 40.5% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 52.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 55.0% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 49.0% |
Goldman Sachs is favored at 49.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goldman Sachs | 49¢ | 49.0% | -6.0 pts | $16.0K | 28.1% |
| Morgan Stanley | 40¢ | 39.5% | +7.5 pts | $10.2K | 18.0% |
| JPMorgan | 0¢ | 0.2% | — | $4.3K | 7.7% |
| Bank of America | 0¢ | 0.2% | — | $2.7K | 4.8% |
| Citigroup | 0¢ | 0.2% | — | $2.9K | 5.1% |
| Barclays | 0¢ | 0.2% | — | $3.9K | 6.9% |
| UBS | 0¢ | 0.2% | — | $3.8K | 6.8% |
| Deutsche Bank | 0¢ | 0.2% | — | $9.4K | 16.5% |
| Wells Fargo | 0¢ | 0.2% | — | $3.4K | 6.1% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 42¢ (bid 28¢ / ask 70¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$56.7K has been traded on this event in total, $9 of it in the last 24 hours, across 19 markets.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of OpenAI. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or OpenAI completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.” If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of OpenAI's final initial public offering prospectus, once released. The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from OpenAI. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 1,892 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 1,892 | $965 |
| Pristine-Business | Yes | 605 | $296 |
| Comfortable-Offering-Viability | Yes | 500 | $245 |
| Obvious-Pit | Yes | 493 | $242 |
| Evil-Row | Yes | 211 | $103 |
| Velvety-Burn | Yes | 162 | $79 |
| Daring-Pirate | Yes | 128 | $63 |
| Long-Term-Overhead | No | 104 | $53 |
| Belated-Glue | No | 59 | $30 |
| Wet-Event | No | 40 | $20 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 01:51 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 0.2% | $0 |
| Oct 22, 02:08 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 48.7% | $30 |
| Oct 21, 08:21 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 43.0% | $45 |
| Oct 21, 08:20 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 43.0% | $9 |
| Oct 20, 11:51 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 44.0% | $10 |
| Oct 20, 10:17 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 27.6% | $14 |
| Oct 20, 10:17 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 48.0% | $3 |
| Oct 20, 01:47 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 47.8% | $32 |
| Oct 19, 11:28 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 52.0% | $10 |
| Oct 18, 04:17 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 44.6% | $22 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is Goldman Sachs at 49.0%. Next is Morgan Stanley at 39.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/lead-bank-in-openais-ipo?via=bro
$56.7K in total volume, with $9 traded in the last 24 hours across 19 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
Goldman Sachs, priced at 49.0% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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