As of October 24, 2026, 08:12 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 94.0% in Lee Jae-myung impeached before 2027? — $21.9K traded so far.
The leading outcome, No, is priced at 94.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — past week: +0.1 pts; past month: +1.6 pts.
Since November 05, 2025, No has traded between 47.0% and 99.3%. It opened at 52.0% and last traded at 94.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 95.0% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 94.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 94.1% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 93.9% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 94.0% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 94.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 94.0% |
No is favored at 94.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | 94¢ | 94.0% | — | $21.9K | 100.0% |
| Yes | 6¢ | 6.0% | — | $21.9K | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 5¢ (bid 4¢ / ask 9¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$21.9K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 3,611 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wry-Cue | Yes | 3,611 | $218 |
| Nautical-Vault | No | 1,808 | $1.7K |
| Tattered-Tankful | No | 1,601 | $1.5K |
| Ambitious-Lawsuit | No | 1,313 | $1.2K |
| Near-Bandanna | No | 1,277 | $1.2K |
| Rough-Metabolite | No | 1,238 | $1.2K |
| Ornate-Congress | Yes | 1,213 | $73 |
| Aged-Mall | Yes | 702 | $42 |
| Oily-Meeting | Yes | 505 | $31 |
| Witty-Push-Hourglass | Yes | 469 | $28 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 09:02 PM ET | No | SELL | 92.9% | $33 |
| Oct 12, 09:02 PM ET | No | SELL | 93.0% | $14 |
| Oct 12, 04:02 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 3.9% | $1 |
| Sep 30, 10:47 AM ET | No | SELL | 93.5% | $11 |
| Sep 30, 09:23 AM ET | No | SELL | 93.5% | $11 |
| Sep 30, 09:07 AM ET | No | SELL | 93.5% | $11 |
| Sep 18, 05:14 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 5.1% | $1 |
| Sep 12, 11:11 PM ET | No | BUY | 94.9% | $2 |
| Sep 12, 10:17 PM ET | No | BUY | 94.9% | $8 |
| Sep 12, 09:38 PM ET | No | SELL | 92.9% | $2 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 94.0%. Next is Yes at 6.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/lee-jae-myung-impeached-before-2027?via=bro
$21.9K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
No, priced at 94.0% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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