As of October 24, 2026, 08:17 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Wang Chung-ming at 75.0% in Lienchiang County Magistrate Election Winner — $12.6K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Wang Chung-ming, is priced at 75.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +0.5 pts; past week: +1.0 pts; past month: -3.0 pts.
Since August 14, 2026, Wang Chung-ming has traded between 70.5% and 93.5%. It opened at 80.0% and last traded at 74.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 75.5% |
| Oct 17, 2026 | 74.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 74.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 76.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 74.0% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 74.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 74.5% |
Wang Chung-ming is favored at 75.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wang Chung-ming | 75¢ | 75.0% | +0.5 pts | $8.7K | 69.1% |
| Candidate A | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate B | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate C | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate D | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate E | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate F | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate G | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate H | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate I | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate J | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate K | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate L | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate M | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate N | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate O | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate P | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate Q | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate R | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate S | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate T | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate U | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate V | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate W | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate X | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate Y | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate Z | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Other | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Tsao Erh-yuan | 22¢ | 21.9% | +2.5 pts | $2.9K | 22.9% |
| Tsao Erh-chang | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $1.0K | 8.1% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 2¢ (bid 74¢ / ask 76¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$12.6K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 30 markets.
This market is scheduled to end November 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Lienchiang County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Resolution source: https://db.cec.gov.tw/
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 1,585 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Awesome-Availability | No | 1,585 | $396 |
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 1,288 | $322 |
| Uniform-Botany | Yes | 933 | $700 |
| Disguised-Pajamas | Yes | 507 | $380 |
| Wan-Gymnastics | Yes | 405 | $303 |
| Treasured-Liner-Cheddar | No | 361 | $90 |
| Gullible-Serum | Yes | 350 | $263 |
| Tall-Finer | Yes | 272 | $204 |
| Known-Use | Yes | 254 | $191 |
| Wide-Eyed-Dark | Yes | 227 | $170 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 02:36 AM ET | No | BUY | 74.4% | $12 |
| Oct 22, 05:09 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 0.1% | $0 |
| Oct 21, 06:02 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 75.0% | $38 |
| Oct 21, 01:15 AM ET | No | BUY | 74.7% | $22 |
| Oct 16, 08:20 PM ET | No | BUY | 26.0% | $2 |
| Oct 16, 08:20 PM ET | No | BUY | 26.0% | $2 |
| Oct 16, 08:20 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 26.8% | $2 |
| Oct 16, 08:15 PM ET | No | BUY | 26.0% | $2 |
| Oct 16, 08:15 PM ET | No | BUY | 25.0% | $2 |
| Oct 16, 08:15 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 26.3% | $2 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is Wang Chung-ming at 75.0%. Next is Candidate A at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/lienchiang-county-magistrate-election-winner-202608131357161600?via=bro
$12.6K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 30 markets.
The market is scheduled to end November 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://db.cec.gov.tw/.
Wang Chung-ming, priced at 75.0% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.
Prices move fast. Check the live book, read the resolution rules, and size small while you learn.
Sign Up on PolymarketNew here? Start with the complete beginner guide, then run any stake through the payout calculator before you trade.