As of October 24, 2026, 08:19 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Le Havre at 66.0% in Ligue 1: Teams relegated (2026-27) — $8.7K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Le Havre, is priced at 66.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — past week: +20.0 pts; past month: +6.5 pts.
Since August 24, 2026, Le Havre has traded between 26.0% and 69.5%. It opened at 50.0% and last traded at 66.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | 48.0% |
| Oct 15, 2026 | 58.5% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 61.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 45.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 65.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 66.0% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 66.0% |
Le Havre is favored at 66.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Le Havre | 66¢ | 66.0% | — | $663 | 7.6% |
| Troyes | 54¢ | 54.0% | +1.5 pts | $412 | 4.7% |
| Le Mans | 40¢ | 39.5% | +1.0 pts | $1.8K | 21.1% |
| Auxerre | 24¢ | 23.5% | — | $60 | 0.7% |
| Angers | 20¢ | 19.5% | -0.5 pts | $100 | 1.1% |
| Brest | 14¢ | 14.0% | — | $180 | 2.1% |
| Toulouse | 14¢ | 14.0% | — | $62 | 0.7% |
| Lorient | 13¢ | 13.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Nice | 12¢ | 12.0% | -5.0 pts | $1.7K | 19.9% |
| Lens | 5¢ | 5.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Marseille | 5¢ | 5.0% | — | $102 | 1.2% |
| Rennes | 4¢ | 4.1% | +0.2 pts | $1.1K | 12.6% |
| Strasbourg | 4¢ | 3.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Lille | 4¢ | 3.5% | — | $551 | 6.3% |
| Lyon | 3¢ | 3.0% | -2.0 pts | $70 | 0.8% |
| Paris FC | 3¢ | 3.0% | — | $1.5K | 17.4% |
| Paris Saint-Germain | 2¢ | 2.5% | -0.1 pts | $16 | 0.2% |
| Monaco | 1¢ | 1.2% | — | $309 | 3.5% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 20¢ (bid 56¢ / ask 76¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$8.7K has been traded on this event in total, $205 of it in the last 24 hours, across 18 markets.
This market is scheduled to end June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is relegated from Ligue 1 at the conclusion of the 2026-27 Ligue 1 season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Official relegation is defined as a team losing its place in Ligue 1 for the following season through their final standing in the 2026-27 Ligue 1, via relegation playoff defeat, or by any other official league decision recognized by Ligue 1. If the 2026-27 Ligue 1 season is cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there are no teams confirmed for relegation within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official announcements from Ligue 1. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 201 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Notable-Genetics | No | 201 | $68 |
| Chief-Plot | Yes | 140 | $92 |
| Enormous-Havoc | Yes | 60 | $40 |
| Apt-Antecedent | Yes | 20 | $13 |
| Pesky-Stepuncle | No | 20 | $7 |
| Direct-Chainstay | No | 1 | $0 |
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 1 | $1 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 05:19 PM ET | No | BUY | 91.2% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 05:19 PM ET | No | BUY | 91.0% | $10 |
| Oct 24, 07:39 AM ET | No | BUY | 91.0% | $54 |
| Oct 24, 07:38 AM ET | No | BUY | 90.0% | $32 |
| Oct 24, 07:38 AM ET | No | BUY | 88.0% | $35 |
| Oct 24, 07:38 AM ET | No | BUY | 88.0% | $35 |
| Oct 24, 07:38 AM ET | No | BUY | 89.0% | $16 |
| Oct 18, 08:18 AM ET | No | BUY | 56.0% | $11 |
| Oct 16, 05:21 PM ET | No | SELL | 56.0% | $22 |
| Oct 14, 11:45 AM ET | No | SELL | 83.0% | $19 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is Le Havre at 66.0%. Next is Troyes at 54.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/ligue-1-teams-relegated-2026-27?via=bro
$8.7K in total volume, with $205 traded in the last 24 hours across 18 markets.
The market is scheduled to end June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
Le Havre, priced at 66.0% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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