Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

Lindsay Clancy convicted of manslaughter in 2026?

As of October 24, 2026, 08:06 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 95.2% in Lindsay Clancy convicted of manslaughter in 2026? — $28.6K traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $0.
Leading outcome
No
95%
A 95.2% price implies roughly a 95-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
7D −0.2 pts30D −3.0 pts
No95.2%
Yes4.8%
Bid
4¢
Ask
5¢
Spread
1¢
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Range since September 04, 2026: 84.4% – 95.2% · Opened at 94.0%

Market facts

Event data
Event
Lindsay Clancy convicted of manslaughter in 2026?
Category
Courts, Culture, Politics, court cases, massachusetts
Scheduled end
December 31, 2026, 06:59 PM ET
Total volume
$28.6K
Volume (24h)
$0
Liquidity
$2.9K
Markets
1
Leading outcome
No — 95.2%
Resolution source
https://media.wbur.org/wp/2023/09/clancy-indictment.pdf

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, No, is priced at 95.2%.

Price changes for the leading market — past week: -0.2 pts; past month: -3.0 pts.

Since September 04, 2026, No has traded between 84.4% and 95.2%. It opened at 94.0% and last traded at 95.2%.

DayClose
Oct 16, 202695.0%
Oct 18, 202695.0%
Oct 19, 202695.0%
Oct 20, 202695.0%
Oct 23, 202695.2%
Oct 24, 202695.2%
Oct 24, 202695.2%

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

No is favored at 95.2%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
No95¢95.2%—$28.6K100.0%
Yes5¢4.8%—$28.6K100.0%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 1¢ (bid 4¢ / ask 5¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$28.6K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 06:59 PM ET.

Lindsay Clancy has been charged by The Commonwealth of Massachusetts with three counts of murder for the death of her three children. You can read more about that here: https://media.wbur.org/wp/2023/09/clancy-indictment.pdf. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lindsay Clancy is convicted of at least one count of manslaughter in the ongoing Commonwealth v. Lindsay Clancy case by either December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or, in the event of a mistrial, by the end of any retrial that begins before that date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A conviction for manslaughter will qualify whether it results from a manslaughter charge or from a finding of manslaughter as a lesser included offense of a murder charge. A conviction for murder, without any accompanying conviction for manslaughter, will not qualify. If this case ends due to a dismissal, or results in any situation in which no judgment is rendered by the court, or results in a verdict of Not Guilty on all charges (including by reason of lack of criminal responsibility due to mental illness), this market will resolve to "No". A plea agreement will qualify to resolve this market "Yes" only if it results in a judgment of conviction for manslaughter. If all charges against Clancy are dropped, this market will immediately resolve to "No". This market will resolve according to the initial judgment rendered in this case. … (condensed)

Resolution source: https://media.wbur.org/wp/2023/09/clancy-indictment.pdf

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 3,971 shares of No.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
Tame-HillNo3,971$3.8K
Dearest-AgendaYes1,571$75
Grim-GarageYes428$21
Evil-RowYes296$14
Mediocre-ParadiseYes250$12
Charming-GrapeYes243$12
Gleaming-HandlebarYes233$11
Turbulent-Decline-RouterYes210$10
Pleasing-ElmYes193$9
Cooperative-GasketNo155$148

What are the latest trades?

Tape
BUY No — $780 at 93.6%BUY No — $470 at 93.9%SELL No — $307 at 95.0%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 23, 06:30 PM ETNoSELL94.7%$39
Oct 20, 11:38 PM ETYesBUY4.5%$1
Oct 20, 11:20 PM ETYesSELL4.7%$0
Oct 16, 03:24 PM ETNoBUY95.3%$47
Oct 16, 03:24 PM ETYesSELL5.3%$12
Oct 15, 11:37 PM ETNoBUY94.8%$20
Oct 11, 03:46 AM ETYesSELL5.2%$6
Oct 10, 08:54 AM ETYesBUY5.3%$3
Oct 07, 03:55 AM ETYesSELL5.2%$1
Oct 06, 03:50 PM ETYesBUY5.0%$5

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Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of Lindsay Clancy convicted of manslaughter in 2026??

As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 95.2%. Next is Yes at 4.8%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/lindsay-clancy-convicted-of-manslaughter?via=bro

How much money has been traded on Lindsay Clancy convicted of manslaughter in 2026??

$28.6K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.

When does Lindsay Clancy convicted of manslaughter in 2026? end?

The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 06:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://media.wbur.org/wp/2023/09/clancy-indictment.pdf.

What is the most likely outcome of Lindsay Clancy convicted of manslaughter in 2026?, according to Polymarket traders?

No, priced at 95.2% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

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