As of October 24, 2026, 08:06 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 95.2% in Lindsay Clancy convicted of manslaughter in 2026? — $28.6K traded so far.
The leading outcome, No, is priced at 95.2%.
Price changes for the leading market — past week: -0.2 pts; past month: -3.0 pts.
Since September 04, 2026, No has traded between 84.4% and 95.2%. It opened at 94.0% and last traded at 95.2%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 95.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 95.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 95.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 95.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 95.2% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 95.2% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 95.2% |
No is favored at 95.2%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | 95¢ | 95.2% | — | $28.6K | 100.0% |
| Yes | 5¢ | 4.8% | — | $28.6K | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 1¢ (bid 4¢ / ask 5¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$28.6K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 06:59 PM ET.
Lindsay Clancy has been charged by The Commonwealth of Massachusetts with three counts of murder for the death of her three children. You can read more about that here: https://media.wbur.org/wp/2023/09/clancy-indictment.pdf. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lindsay Clancy is convicted of at least one count of manslaughter in the ongoing Commonwealth v. Lindsay Clancy case by either December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or, in the event of a mistrial, by the end of any retrial that begins before that date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A conviction for manslaughter will qualify whether it results from a manslaughter charge or from a finding of manslaughter as a lesser included offense of a murder charge. A conviction for murder, without any accompanying conviction for manslaughter, will not qualify. If this case ends due to a dismissal, or results in any situation in which no judgment is rendered by the court, or results in a verdict of Not Guilty on all charges (including by reason of lack of criminal responsibility due to mental illness), this market will resolve to "No". A plea agreement will qualify to resolve this market "Yes" only if it results in a judgment of conviction for manslaughter. If all charges against Clancy are dropped, this market will immediately resolve to "No". This market will resolve according to the initial judgment rendered in this case. … (condensed)
Resolution source: https://media.wbur.org/wp/2023/09/clancy-indictment.pdf
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 3,971 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tame-Hill | No | 3,971 | $3.8K |
| Dearest-Agenda | Yes | 1,571 | $75 |
| Grim-Garage | Yes | 428 | $21 |
| Evil-Row | Yes | 296 | $14 |
| Mediocre-Paradise | Yes | 250 | $12 |
| Charming-Grape | Yes | 243 | $12 |
| Gleaming-Handlebar | Yes | 233 | $11 |
| Turbulent-Decline-Router | Yes | 210 | $10 |
| Pleasing-Elm | Yes | 193 | $9 |
| Cooperative-Gasket | No | 155 | $148 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 06:30 PM ET | No | SELL | 94.7% | $39 |
| Oct 20, 11:38 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 4.5% | $1 |
| Oct 20, 11:20 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 4.7% | $0 |
| Oct 16, 03:24 PM ET | No | BUY | 95.3% | $47 |
| Oct 16, 03:24 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 5.3% | $12 |
| Oct 15, 11:37 PM ET | No | BUY | 94.8% | $20 |
| Oct 11, 03:46 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 5.2% | $6 |
| Oct 10, 08:54 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 5.3% | $3 |
| Oct 07, 03:55 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 5.2% | $1 |
| Oct 06, 03:50 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 5.0% | $5 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 95.2%. Next is Yes at 4.8%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/lindsay-clancy-convicted-of-manslaughter?via=bro
$28.6K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 06:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://media.wbur.org/wp/2023/09/clancy-indictment.pdf.
No, priced at 95.2% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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