Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by...?

As of October 24, 2026, 06:32 PM ET, Polymarket traders price December 31, 2027 at 22.5% in Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by...? — $768.1K traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $878.
Leading outcome
December 31, 2027
22%
A 22.5% price implies roughly a 22-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
7D +0.5 pts30D +1.0 pts
December 31, 202722.5%
December 31, 20263.9%
Bid
22¢
Ask
23¢
Spread
1¢
Trade on Polymarket →
Range since September 04, 2026: 18.0% – 24.5% · Opened at 24.5%

Market facts

Event data
Event
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by...?
Category
Courts, Culture, Politics, court cases, massachusetts
Scheduled end
December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET
Total volume
$768.1K
Volume (24h)
$878
Liquidity
$55.7K
Markets
2
Leading outcome
December 31, 2027 — 22.5%
Resolution source
https://media.wbur.org/wp/2023/09/clancy-indictment.pdf

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, December 31, 2027, is priced at 22.5%.

Price changes for the leading market — past week: +0.5 pts; past month: +1.0 pts.

Since September 04, 2026, December 31, 2027 has traded between 18.0% and 24.5%. It opened at 24.5% and last traded at 22.5%.

DayClose
Oct 15, 202622.0%
Oct 16, 202622.0%
Oct 18, 202622.0%
Oct 19, 202622.0%
Oct 20, 202622.0%
Oct 23, 202622.5%
Oct 24, 202622.5%

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

December 31, 2027 is favored at 22.5%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
December 31, 202722¢22.5%—$47.6K6.2%
December 31, 20264¢3.9%+0.2 pts$720.5K93.8%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 1¢ (bid 22¢ / ask 23¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$768.1K has been traded on this event in total, $878 of it in the last 24 hours, across 2 markets.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Lindsay Clancy has been charged by The Commonwealth of Massachusetts with three counts of murder for the death of her three children. You can read more about that here: https://media.wbur.org/wp/2023/09/clancy-indictment.pdf. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lindsay Clancy is convicted of at least one murder charge in the ongoing Commonwealth v. Lindsay Clancy case by either the specified date, 11:59 PM ET or, in the event of a mistrial, by the end of any retrial that begins before that date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If this case ends due to a dismissal, or results in any situation in which no judgment is rendered by the court, or results in a verdict of Not Guilty for all murder charges (including by reason of lack of criminal responsibility due to mental illness), this market will resolve to "No". A plea agreement will qualify to resolve this market "Yes" only if it results in a judgment of conviction for murder. If all murder charges against Clancy are dropped, or otherwise changed such that they are no longer considered murder, this market will immediately resolve to "No". This market will resolve according to the initial judgment rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. … (condensed)

Resolution source: https://media.wbur.org/wp/2023/09/clancy-indictment.pdf

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 8,887 shares of Yes.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
Dearest-AgendaYes8,887$2.0K
Pure-ThreatNo3,631$2.8K
Angelic-Enemy-WeederNo2,013$1.6K
Hideous-RacerNo2,000$1.5K
0x2a5ffc44…No1,768$1.4K
Woeful-Wrinkle-ApproachNo1,636$1.3K
Unkempt-SeasideYes1,000$225
Quiet-PowerYes1,000$225
Natural-VacationNo918$712
Colorless-RiteNo768$595

What are the latest trades?

Tape
BUY No — $2.9K at 79.0%SELL No — $2.1K at 79.0%SELL No — $961 at 96.1%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 24, 01:50 PM ETNoSELL77.0%$8
Oct 24, 01:20 PM ETYesBUY4.0%$30
Oct 24, 12:52 PM ETNoSELL96.1%$0
Oct 24, 12:52 PM ETNoSELL96.1%$0
Oct 24, 12:51 PM ETNoBUY96.2%$1
Oct 24, 12:48 AM ETYesSELL3.4%$1
Oct 23, 07:09 PM ETYesSELL3.3%$3
Oct 23, 03:25 PM ETYesSELL3.9%$4
Oct 23, 02:43 PM ETNoSELL95.4%$5
Oct 23, 09:38 AM ETNoSELL95.2%$200

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Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by...??

As of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET, the leading outcome is December 31, 2027 at 22.5%. Next is December 31, 2026 at 3.9%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/lindsay-clancy-convicted-of-murder?via=bro

How much money has been traded on Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by...??

$768.1K in total volume, with $878 traded in the last 24 hours across 2 markets.

When does Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by...? end?

The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://media.wbur.org/wp/2023/09/clancy-indictment.pdf.

What is the most likely outcome of Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by...?, according to Polymarket traders?

December 31, 2027, priced at 22.5% as of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

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