As of October 24, 2026, 06:32 PM ET, Polymarket traders price December 31, 2027 at 22.5% in Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by...? — $768.1K traded so far.
The leading outcome, December 31, 2027, is priced at 22.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — past week: +0.5 pts; past month: +1.0 pts.
Since September 04, 2026, December 31, 2027 has traded between 18.0% and 24.5%. It opened at 24.5% and last traded at 22.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 22.0% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 22.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 22.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 22.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 22.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 22.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 22.5% |
December 31, 2027 is favored at 22.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31, 2027 | 22¢ | 22.5% | — | $47.6K | 6.2% |
| December 31, 2026 | 4¢ | 3.9% | +0.2 pts | $720.5K | 93.8% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 1¢ (bid 22¢ / ask 23¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$768.1K has been traded on this event in total, $878 of it in the last 24 hours, across 2 markets.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Lindsay Clancy has been charged by The Commonwealth of Massachusetts with three counts of murder for the death of her three children. You can read more about that here: https://media.wbur.org/wp/2023/09/clancy-indictment.pdf. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lindsay Clancy is convicted of at least one murder charge in the ongoing Commonwealth v. Lindsay Clancy case by either the specified date, 11:59 PM ET or, in the event of a mistrial, by the end of any retrial that begins before that date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If this case ends due to a dismissal, or results in any situation in which no judgment is rendered by the court, or results in a verdict of Not Guilty for all murder charges (including by reason of lack of criminal responsibility due to mental illness), this market will resolve to "No". A plea agreement will qualify to resolve this market "Yes" only if it results in a judgment of conviction for murder. If all murder charges against Clancy are dropped, or otherwise changed such that they are no longer considered murder, this market will immediately resolve to "No". This market will resolve according to the initial judgment rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. … (condensed)
Resolution source: https://media.wbur.org/wp/2023/09/clancy-indictment.pdf
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 8,887 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dearest-Agenda | Yes | 8,887 | $2.0K |
| Pure-Threat | No | 3,631 | $2.8K |
| Angelic-Enemy-Weeder | No | 2,013 | $1.6K |
| Hideous-Racer | No | 2,000 | $1.5K |
| 0x2a5ffc44… | No | 1,768 | $1.4K |
| Woeful-Wrinkle-Approach | No | 1,636 | $1.3K |
| Unkempt-Seaside | Yes | 1,000 | $225 |
| Quiet-Power | Yes | 1,000 | $225 |
| Natural-Vacation | No | 918 | $712 |
| Colorless-Rite | No | 768 | $595 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 01:50 PM ET | No | SELL | 77.0% | $8 |
| Oct 24, 01:20 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 4.0% | $30 |
| Oct 24, 12:52 PM ET | No | SELL | 96.1% | $0 |
| Oct 24, 12:52 PM ET | No | SELL | 96.1% | $0 |
| Oct 24, 12:51 PM ET | No | BUY | 96.2% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 12:48 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 3.4% | $1 |
| Oct 23, 07:09 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 3.3% | $3 |
| Oct 23, 03:25 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 3.9% | $4 |
| Oct 23, 02:43 PM ET | No | SELL | 95.4% | $5 |
| Oct 23, 09:38 AM ET | No | SELL | 95.2% | $200 |
As of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET, the leading outcome is December 31, 2027 at 22.5%. Next is December 31, 2026 at 3.9%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/lindsay-clancy-convicted-of-murder?via=bro
$768.1K in total volume, with $878 traded in the last 24 hours across 2 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://media.wbur.org/wp/2023/09/clancy-indictment.pdf.
December 31, 2027, priced at 22.5% as of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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