As of October 24, 2026, 08:16 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 97.2% in Lindsay Clancy sentenced to prison time in 2026? — $14.5K traded so far.
The leading outcome, No, is priced at 97.2%.
Price changes for the leading market — past week: -0.8 pts; past month: -2.7 pts.
Since September 04, 2026, No has traded between 91.5% and 97.6%. It opened at 91.5% and last traded at 97.2%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | 96.4% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 96.3% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 96.4% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 97.5% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 97.6% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 97.2% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 97.2% |
No is favored at 97.2%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | 97¢ | 97.2% | — | $14.5K | 100.0% |
| Yes | 3¢ | 2.8% | — | $14.5K | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 3¢ (bid 1¢ / ask 4¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$14.5K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 06:59 PM ET.
Lindsay Clancy has been charged by The Commonwealth of Massachusetts with three counts of murder for the death of her three children. You can read more about that here: https://media.wbur.org/wp/2023/09/clancy-indictment.pdf. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lindsay Clancy is sentenced to any term of incarceration stemming from the ongoing Commonwealth v. Lindsay Clancy case by either December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or, in the event of a mistrial, by the end of any retrial (including possible sentencing proceedings) that begins before that date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any custodial sentence will qualify regardless of its length, regardless of the offense it is imposed for, and regardless of whether it is satisfied in whole or in part by credit for time already served. A sentence that is entirely suspended, a sentence of probation carrying no term of incarceration, a fine alone, or an order of commitment to a mental health facility will not qualify. If this case ends due to a dismissal, or results in any situation in which no sentence is imposed by the court, or results in a verdict of Not Guilty on all charges (including by reason of lack of criminal responsibility due to mental illness), this market will resolve to "No". A plea agreement will qualify to resolve this market "Yes" only if it results in a sentence that includes a term of incarceration. … (condensed)
Resolution source: https://media.wbur.org/wp/2023/09/clancy-indictment.pdf
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 2,824 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rectangular-Cartridge | No | 2,824 | $2.7K |
| Cheery-Preparation | No | 1,217 | $1.2K |
| Perfumed-Moat | Yes | 1,183 | $33 |
| Grim-Garage | Yes | 744 | $21 |
| Concrete-Transition | Yes | 459 | $13 |
| Attached-Schedule | Yes | 417 | $12 |
| Straight-Wrinkle | Yes | 300 | $8 |
| Melodic-Cria | Yes | 299 | $8 |
| Mediocre-Paradise | Yes | 250 | $7 |
| FrankyFourFingers | No | 200 | $195 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 02:19 PM ET | No | BUY | 97.0% | $194 |
| Oct 05, 04:23 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 3.7% | $1 |
| Oct 05, 03:27 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 3.0% | $1 |
| Oct 05, 03:27 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 3.0% | $1 |
| Oct 05, 03:26 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 3.5% | $3 |
| Oct 05, 03:26 PM ET | No | BUY | 96.0% | $573 |
| Oct 04, 04:16 AM ET | No | SELL | 95.2% | $1 |
| Oct 04, 04:16 AM ET | No | BUY | 96.0% | $1 |
| Oct 03, 06:47 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 4.8% | $2 |
| Oct 02, 08:48 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 4.1% | $1 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 97.2%. Next is Yes at 2.8%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/lindsay-clancy-sentenced-to-prison-time?via=bro
$14.5K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 06:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://media.wbur.org/wp/2023/09/clancy-indictment.pdf.
No, priced at 97.2% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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