As of October 24, 2026, 08:04 PM ET, Polymarket traders price December 31 at 9.5% in Lisa Cook officially out as Fed Governor by...? — $31.6K traded so far.
The leading outcome, December 31, is priced at 9.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +0.9 pts; past week: +2.3 pts; past month: +5.0 pts.
Since August 07, 2026, December 31 has traded between 3.7% and 45.0%. It opened at 45.0% and last traded at 9.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 7.9% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 7.6% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 7.6% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 8.8% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 8.6% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 9.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 9.5% |
December 31 is favored at 9.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31 | 10¢ | 9.5% | +0.9 pts | $8.6K | 27.1% |
| November 30 | 3¢ | 3.1% | — | $1.7K | 5.4% |
| October 31 | 1¢ | 0.6% | — | $8.3K | 26.4% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 1¢ (bid 9¢ / ask 10¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$31.6K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 3 markets.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lisa Cook formally ceases to hold the position of Member of the US Federal Reserve Board of Governors by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". Lisa Cook must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, dismissal, or other means all qualify. Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 3,112 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Functional-Heartthrob | Yes | 3,112 | $296 |
| Flashy-Label | No | 2,000 | $1.8K |
| Silent-Obsidian | No | 673 | $609 |
| Flat-Badger | No | 357 | $323 |
| Straight-Hunting | Yes | 180 | $17 |
| Happy-Dinosaur | No | 120 | $109 |
| Old-Fashioned-Doubt | No | 109 | $99 |
| Helpful-Cheese | Yes | 100 | $10 |
| Unlined-Marshmallow | No | 94 | $85 |
| Mundane-Screwdriver | No | 73 | $66 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 01:10 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 7.9% | $0 |
| Oct 22, 06:20 AM ET | No | SELL | 91.4% | $71 |
| Oct 17, 12:33 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 6.5% | $0 |
| Oct 16, 10:23 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 6.1% | $1 |
| Oct 16, 06:57 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 8.8% | $4 |
| Oct 16, 06:48 AM ET | No | SELL | 89.7% | $18 |
| Oct 16, 06:47 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 10.5% | $1 |
| Oct 16, 06:47 AM ET | No | SELL | 89.4% | $18 |
| Oct 16, 06:47 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 6.9% | $2 |
| Oct 16, 06:47 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 8.4% | $23 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is December 31 at 9.5%. Next is November 30 at 3.1%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/lisa-cook-officially-out-as-fed-governor-byptptpt-20260807214943167?via=bro
$31.6K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 3 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
December 31, priced at 9.5% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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