As of October 24, 2026, 09:24 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 88.5% in Logan Paul and Tom Brady sanctioned fight announced in 2026? — $92 traded so far.
The leading outcome, No, is priced at 88.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — past month: -9.5 pts.
Since August 13, 2026, No has traded between 67.0% and 95.5%. It opened at 95.0% and last traded at 88.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | 88.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 88.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 88.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 88.5% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 88.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 88.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 88.5% |
No is favored at 88.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | 88¢ | 88.5% | — | $92 | 100.0% |
| Yes | 12¢ | 11.5% | — | $92 | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 17¢ (bid 3¢ / ask 20¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$92 has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Logan Paul and Tom Brady are officially announced to face each other in a sanctioned fight. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Resolution for this market will be based on an official announcement of a bout between Logan Paul and Tom Brady, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place. For the purposes of this market, a "sanctioned fight" means a professional or exhibition combat sports bout (including but not limited to boxing, MMA, or kickboxing) between the two, sanctioned or overseen by a recognized athletic commission or combat sports governing body, under any promotion. Scripted professional wrestling matches, including WWE matches, do not count. Only official announcements which include a scheduled date for the bout will count. Qualifying announcements must come from the promotion or event organizer staging the bout, or jointly from both fighters or their official representatives. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, reports of negotiations, or other unofficial announcements will not count. If no qualifying announcement is made by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the promotion staging the bout and from the fighters' official channels. … (condensed)
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 22 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Writhing-Halibut | Yes | 22 | $3 |
| Wry-Friction-Banquette | No | 20 | $18 |
| Plump-Implementation | No | 4 | $4 |
| Distant-Jewellery | Yes | 2 | $0 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 09, 01:51 AM ET | No | SELL | 72.0% | $14 |
| Oct 09, 01:51 AM ET | No | SELL | 79.0% | $19 |
| Aug 13, 08:11 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 3.0% | $1 |
| Aug 13, 06:40 PM ET | No | SELL | 93.0% | $2 |
| Aug 13, 04:25 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 7.0% | $2 |
| Aug 13, 12:09 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 50.0% | $1 |
As of October 24, 2026, 09:17 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 88.5%. Next is Yes at 11.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/logan-paul-and-tom-brady-sanctioned-fight-announced-in-2026?via=bro
$92 in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
No, priced at 88.5% as of October 24, 2026, 09:17 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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