As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Nithya Raman at 54.0% in Los Angeles Mayoral Election — $15.91M traded so far.
The leading outcome, Nithya Raman, is priced at 54.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +1.5 pts; past week: +0.5 pts; past month: -3.9 pts.
Since February 09, 2026, Nithya Raman has traded between 5.5% and 62.5%. It opened at 31.5% and last traded at 54.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 53.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 53.3% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 50.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 50.5% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 51.9% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 52.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 54.0% |
Nithya Raman is favored at 54.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nithya Raman | 54¢ | 54.0% | +1.5 pts | $3.11M | 19.6% |
| Karen Bass | 46¢ | 45.5% | -2.0 pts | $1.64M | 10.3% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 1¢ (bid 53¢ / ask 55¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$15.91M has been traded on this event in total, $35.7K of it in the last 24 hours, across 6 markets.
This market is scheduled to end June 02, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 292,450 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 292,450 | $134.5K |
| True-Grandparent | No | 245,592 | $113.0K |
| Dearest-Agenda | Yes | 177,461 | $95.8K |
| Lively-Provider | No | 166,641 | $76.7K |
| Functional-Heartthrob | Yes | 145,495 | $78.6K |
| Submissive-Clan | Yes | 141,485 | $76.4K |
| Whimsical-Terminal | No | 134,924 | $62.1K |
| Powerful-Election | Yes | 110,230 | $59.5K |
| Grounded-Dream-Amenity | No | 108,205 | $49.8K |
| Oblong-Pioneer | No | 80,159 | $36.9K |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 06:47 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 46.0% | $9 |
| Oct 24, 06:43 PM ET | No | SELL | 53.0% | $0 |
| Oct 24, 06:43 PM ET | No | SELL | 54.0% | $540 |
| Oct 24, 06:43 PM ET | No | BUY | 46.1% | $53 |
| Oct 24, 06:43 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 47.0% | $17 |
| Oct 24, 06:43 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 54.7% | $35 |
| Oct 24, 06:24 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 53.3% | $3 |
| Oct 24, 05:37 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 54.7% | $200 |
| Oct 24, 05:26 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 54.7% | $100 |
| Oct 24, 05:15 PM ET | No | SELL | 54.0% | $6 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is Nithya Raman at 54.0%. Next is Karen Bass at 45.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/los-angeles-mayoral-election-117?via=bro
$15.91M in total volume, with $35.7K traded in the last 24 hours across 6 markets.
The market is scheduled to end June 02, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Nithya Raman, priced at 54.0% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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