As of October 24, 2026, 08:23 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 80.0% in Love Wins: 2026 Edition — $5.3K traded so far.
The leading outcome, No, is priced at 80.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — past week: -11.0 pts; past month: -34.5 pts.
Since February 11, 2026, No has traded between 33.0% and 81.5%. It opened at 77.0% and last traded at 80.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 71.5% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 67.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 67.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 74.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 74.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 80.0% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 80.0% |
No is favored at 80.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | 80¢ | 80.0% | — | $5.3K | 100.0% |
| Yes | 20¢ | 20.0% | — | $5.3K | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 26¢ (bid 7¢ / ask 33¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$5.3K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET: - Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce do not get married - Tom Holland and Zendaya do not get married - Timothée Chalamet and Kylie Jenner do not get engaged Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”. If any mentioned couple announces that they will end their romantic relationship within the stated timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Love+Wins_+2026+edition+(1).pdf
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 203 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Imaginative-Shoes | Yes | 203 | $41 |
| Cheery-Science | No | 200 | $160 |
| Unwilling-Evocation | No | 105 | $84 |
| Blushing-Chapel | No | 66 | $53 |
| Rectangular-Polish | Yes | 60 | $12 |
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 50 | $10 |
| Punctual-Hydrogen | Yes | 39 | $8 |
| Bouncy-Saving | Yes | 25 | $5 |
| Timely-Latency | No | 18 | $14 |
| RepublicOfChina | Yes | 11 | $2 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 07:47 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 23.9% | $17 |
| Oct 14, 07:46 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 63.0% | $9 |
| Oct 14, 07:45 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 63.0% | $35 |
| Oct 12, 12:06 PM ET | No | BUY | 73.0% | $4 |
| Oct 05, 01:44 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 28.0% | $2 |
| Oct 05, 01:44 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 28.1% | $2 |
| Oct 03, 10:19 PM ET | No | BUY | 71.0% | $1 |
| Sep 27, 12:34 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 29.0% | $1 |
| Sep 26, 09:41 PM ET | No | BUY | 69.5% | $7 |
| Sep 26, 09:40 PM ET | No | BUY | 67.0% | $10 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 80.0%. Next is Yes at 20.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/love-wins-2026-edition?via=bro
$5.3K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
No, priced at 80.0% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.
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