Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

Lyon curfew effectively lifted by...?

As of October 24, 2026, 06:26 PM ET, Polymarket traders price November 7 at 87.5% in Lyon curfew effectively lifted by...? — $16.3K traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $2.8K.
Leading outcome
November 7
88%
A 87.5% price implies roughly a 88-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
24H −1.0 pts
November 787.5%
October 3160.5%
Bid
87¢
Ask
88¢
Spread
1¢
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Range since October 22, 2026: 87.5% – 89.5% · Opened at 89.5%

Market facts

Event data
Event
Lyon curfew effectively lifted by...?
Category
Lyon, France, Politics, Protests, France Riots
Scheduled end
November 07, 2026, 05:59 PM ET
Total volume
$16.3K
Volume (24h)
$2.8K
Liquidity
$47.6K
Markets
3
Leading outcome
November 7 — 87.5%

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, November 7, is priced at 87.5%.

Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -1.0 pts.

Since October 22, 2026, November 7 has traded between 87.5% and 89.5%. It opened at 89.5% and last traded at 87.5%.

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

November 7 is favored at 87.5%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
November 788¢87.5%-1.0 pts$1.2K7.0%
October 3160¢60.5%+12.5 pts$7.4K45.4%
October 241¢0.8%-0.1 pts$5.9K36.2%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 1¢ (bid 87¢ / ask 88¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$16.3K has been traded on this event in total, $2.8K of it in the last 24 hours, across 3 markets.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end November 07, 2026, 05:59 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any full calendar day between the day of market creation and the specified date, inclusive (Lyon time), passes without any curfew in effect in any part of the City of Lyon, France. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A calendar day passes without any curfew in effect if, at no point between 12:00 AM and 11:59 PM Lyon time on that day, a curfew is in effect in any part of the City of Lyon. The City of Lyon refers to the municipality (commune) of Lyon, within its official municipal boundaries. A curfew refers to a governmental order which generally prohibits the general population from being present in, or moving through, public spaces in the City of Lyon, or a defined area of it, during a specific timeframe or specific hours. A curfew of any scope will count, whether citywide or limited to specific arrondissements, districts, or neighborhoods of the City of Lyon, and must be officially declared by the City of Lyon, the Prefecture of the Rhône, or a French national authority. A broader curfew (e.g. department-wide or nationwide) will count so long as it applies to at least part of the City of Lyon. Unofficial guidance, voluntary advisories, curfews applying only to minors or other specific groups, and conditional or prospective statements that a curfew may be imposed will not be considered curfews for the purposes of this market. … (condensed)

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 100 shares of No.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
Odd-LocustNo100$12
Oddball-PoisonYes96$84
Evil-RowYes69$61
Overdue-SideboardYes57$50
Grim-GarageNo51$6
Grumpy-InvaderYes50$44
Belated-GlueNo50$6
Humiliating-FenderNo38$5
Perfumed-MoatNo30$4
Adolescent-Hardcover-DifficultyNo20$2

What are the latest trades?

Tape
BUY No — $500 at 97.5%BUY No — $500 at 98.6%BUY Yes — $431 at 56.5%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 24, 04:08 PM ETYesSELL58.5%$293
Oct 24, 03:59 PM ETNoSELL37.1%$37
Oct 24, 03:58 PM ETYesBUY62.0%$10
Oct 24, 03:58 PM ETYesBUY63.0%$5
Oct 24, 03:49 PM ETNoSELL37.0%$7
Oct 24, 03:48 PM ETYesBUY56.5%$431
Oct 24, 03:48 PM ETYesBUY60.0%$58
Oct 24, 02:30 PM ETNoSELL45.0%$9
Oct 24, 02:29 PM ETNoSELL45.0%$22
Oct 24, 02:29 PM ETNoSELL45.0%$9

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Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of Lyon curfew effectively lifted by...??

As of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET, the leading outcome is November 7 at 87.5%. Next is October 31 at 60.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/lyon-curfew-effectively-lifted-by?via=bro

How much money has been traded on Lyon curfew effectively lifted by...??

$16.3K in total volume, with $2.8K traded in the last 24 hours across 3 markets.

When does Lyon curfew effectively lifted by...? end?

The market is scheduled to end November 07, 2026, 05:59 PM ET.

What is the most likely outcome of Lyon curfew effectively lifted by...?, according to Polymarket traders?

November 7, priced at 87.5% as of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

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