As of October 24, 2026, 06:26 PM ET, Polymarket traders price November 7 at 87.5% in Lyon curfew effectively lifted by...? — $16.3K traded so far.
The leading outcome, November 7, is priced at 87.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -1.0 pts.
Since October 22, 2026, November 7 has traded between 87.5% and 89.5%. It opened at 89.5% and last traded at 87.5%.
November 7 is favored at 87.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| November 7 | 88¢ | 87.5% | -1.0 pts | $1.2K | 7.0% |
| October 31 | 60¢ | 60.5% | +12.5 pts | $7.4K | 45.4% |
| October 24 | 1¢ | 0.8% | -0.1 pts | $5.9K | 36.2% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 1¢ (bid 87¢ / ask 88¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$16.3K has been traded on this event in total, $2.8K of it in the last 24 hours, across 3 markets.
This market is scheduled to end November 07, 2026, 05:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any full calendar day between the day of market creation and the specified date, inclusive (Lyon time), passes without any curfew in effect in any part of the City of Lyon, France. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A calendar day passes without any curfew in effect if, at no point between 12:00 AM and 11:59 PM Lyon time on that day, a curfew is in effect in any part of the City of Lyon. The City of Lyon refers to the municipality (commune) of Lyon, within its official municipal boundaries. A curfew refers to a governmental order which generally prohibits the general population from being present in, or moving through, public spaces in the City of Lyon, or a defined area of it, during a specific timeframe or specific hours. A curfew of any scope will count, whether citywide or limited to specific arrondissements, districts, or neighborhoods of the City of Lyon, and must be officially declared by the City of Lyon, the Prefecture of the Rhône, or a French national authority. A broader curfew (e.g. department-wide or nationwide) will count so long as it applies to at least part of the City of Lyon. Unofficial guidance, voluntary advisories, curfews applying only to minors or other specific groups, and conditional or prospective statements that a curfew may be imposed will not be considered curfews for the purposes of this market. … (condensed)
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 100 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Odd-Locust | No | 100 | $12 |
| Oddball-Poison | Yes | 96 | $84 |
| Evil-Row | Yes | 69 | $61 |
| Overdue-Sideboard | Yes | 57 | $50 |
| Grim-Garage | No | 51 | $6 |
| Grumpy-Invader | Yes | 50 | $44 |
| Belated-Glue | No | 50 | $6 |
| Humiliating-Fender | No | 38 | $5 |
| Perfumed-Moat | No | 30 | $4 |
| Adolescent-Hardcover-Difficulty | No | 20 | $2 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 04:08 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 58.5% | $293 |
| Oct 24, 03:59 PM ET | No | SELL | 37.1% | $37 |
| Oct 24, 03:58 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 62.0% | $10 |
| Oct 24, 03:58 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 63.0% | $5 |
| Oct 24, 03:49 PM ET | No | SELL | 37.0% | $7 |
| Oct 24, 03:48 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 56.5% | $431 |
| Oct 24, 03:48 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 60.0% | $58 |
| Oct 24, 02:30 PM ET | No | SELL | 45.0% | $9 |
| Oct 24, 02:29 PM ET | No | SELL | 45.0% | $22 |
| Oct 24, 02:29 PM ET | No | SELL | 45.0% | $9 |
As of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET, the leading outcome is November 7 at 87.5%. Next is October 31 at 60.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/lyon-curfew-effectively-lifted-by?via=bro
$16.3K in total volume, with $2.8K traded in the last 24 hours across 3 markets.
The market is scheduled to end November 07, 2026, 05:59 PM ET.
November 7, priced at 87.5% as of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.
Prices move fast. Check the live book, read the resolution rules, and size small while you learn.
Sign Up on PolymarketNew here? Start with the complete beginner guide, then run any stake through the payout calculator before you trade.