As of October 24, 2026, 07:55 PM ET, Polymarket traders price $10M at 23.2% in MagicBlock FDV above ___ one day after launch? — $64.4K traded so far.
The leading outcome, $10M, is priced at 23.2%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -0.1 pts; past week: -7.0 pts; past month: -11.2 pts.
Since February 05, 2026, $10M has traded between 22.7% and 95.5%. It opened at 72.5% and last traded at 23.2%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | 30.1% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 30.6% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 31.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 30.6% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 22.7% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 23.3% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 23.2% |
$10M is favored at 23.2%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $10M | 23¢ | 23.2% | -0.1 pts | $15.1K | 23.5% |
| $20M | 20¢ | 20.5% | +0.5 pts | $17.9K | 27.8% |
| $40M | 18¢ | 18.0% | +3.0 pts | $10.4K | 16.1% |
| $60M | 16¢ | 16.0% | +1.0 pts | $8.7K | 13.4% |
| $100M | 15¢ | 15.0% | +2.0 pts | $6.0K | 9.3% |
| $200M | 8¢ | 8.5% | — | $2.7K | 4.2% |
| $300M | 8¢ | 7.8% | +0.2 pts | $3.6K | 5.6% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 10¢ (bid 18¢ / ask 28¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$64.4K has been traded on this event in total, $51 of it in the last 24 hours, across 7 markets.
This market is scheduled to end January 01, 2027, 12:00 AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of MagicBlock's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If MagicBlock (https://x.com/magicblock) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Resolution source: https://x.com/magicblock
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 1,136 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Unacceptable-Alder | Yes | 1,136 | $263 |
| Evil-Row | No | 397 | $305 |
| Candid-Lighting | No | 258 | $199 |
| Mad-Research-Wasp | Yes | 200 | $46 |
| Brave-Cornflakes | Yes | 188 | $43 |
| Fruitful-Heroine | No | 133 | $102 |
| what111 | No | 131 | $100 |
| 0xa169f83d… | No | 128 | $98 |
| Belated-Glue | No | 116 | $89 |
| Wicked-Freight | No | 103 | $79 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 06:41 AM ET | No | SELL | 83.0% | $12 |
| Oct 22, 03:06 PM ET | No | BUY | 82.9% | $17 |
| Oct 22, 09:44 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 17.0% | $6 |
| Oct 22, 09:34 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 14.0% | $2 |
| Oct 22, 09:25 AM ET | No | BUY | 83.9% | $84 |
| Oct 22, 09:24 AM ET | No | BUY | 83.9% | $84 |
| Oct 22, 09:18 AM ET | No | BUY | 86.0% | $77 |
| Oct 22, 09:18 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 14.0% | $2 |
| Oct 22, 09:17 AM ET | No | BUY | 85.5% | $43 |
| Oct 22, 09:17 AM ET | No | BUY | 82.5% | $19 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is $10M at 23.2%. Next is $20M at 20.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/magicblock-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch?via=bro
$64.4K in total volume, with $51 traded in the last 24 hours across 7 markets.
The market is scheduled to end January 01, 2027, 12:00 AM ET. It resolves based on https://x.com/magicblock.
$10M, priced at 23.2% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.
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