As of October 24, 2026, 09:11 PM ET, Polymarket traders price 8.5+ passing TDs at 88.0% in Pro Football: Malik Willis 2026-27 Regular Season Passing Touchdowns — $973 traded so far.
The leading outcome, 8.5+ passing TDs, is priced at 88.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — past week: -1.0 pts; past month: +7.0 pts.
Since August 11, 2026, 8.5+ passing TDs has traded between 50.0% and 89.0%. It opened at 51.0% and last traded at 88.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 88.0% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 89.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 89.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 88.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 88.0% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 88.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 88.0% |
8.5+ passing TDs is favored at 88.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8.5+ passing TDs | 88¢ | 88.0% | — | $264 | 27.2% |
| 11.5+ passing TDs | 66¢ | 65.5% | — | $548 | 56.4% |
| 17.5+ passing TDs | 51¢ | 51.0% | +1.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| 20.5+ passing TDs | 51¢ | 51.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| 14.5+ passing TDs | 50¢ | 49.5% | -0.5 pts | $160 | 16.5% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 18¢ (bid 79¢ / ask 97¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$973 has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 5 markets.
This market is scheduled to end January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of passing touchdowns Malik Willis records during the 2026-27 NFL regular season equals or exceeds 8.5. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Malik Willis does not play in the 2026-27 NFL regular season for any reason, this market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed games. If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined how many passing touchdowns Malik Willis recorded within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "50-50". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 100 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Loathsome-Ox | Yes | 100 | $88 |
| Chief-Plot | No | 100 | $12 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 12:01 PM ET | No | BUY | 51.0% | $1 |
| Oct 17, 12:01 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 48.2% | $40 |
| Oct 16, 09:26 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 26.0% | $10 |
| Oct 16, 02:38 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 24.0% | $5 |
| Oct 16, 07:48 AM ET | No | SELL | 70.0% | $13 |
| Oct 16, 07:37 AM ET | No | BUY | 48.0% | $90 |
| Oct 16, 07:37 AM ET | No | BUY | 52.0% | $9 |
| Oct 15, 08:39 PM ET | No | BUY | 73.0% | $15 |
| Oct 15, 08:39 PM ET | No | BUY | 73.0% | $15 |
| Oct 15, 08:39 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 27.0% | $5 |
As of October 24, 2026, 09:03 PM ET, the leading outcome is 8.5+ passing TDs at 88.0%. Next is 11.5+ passing TDs at 65.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/malik-willis-passing-touchdowns-2026-27?via=bro
$973 in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 5 markets.
The market is scheduled to end January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
8.5+ passing TDs, priced at 88.0% as of October 24, 2026, 09:03 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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